NHL · resolved market
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bfcc697d99e68b26e62194da15c0573e5d3bf0dd99f6053088d0ffc791e9e1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Blue Jackets, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,190 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Blue Jackets | 34c | 3,407$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.33 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Islanders | 66c | 2,190$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.77 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Islanders | 67c | 522.39$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.39 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Islanders | 67c | 244.86$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Blue Jackets | 32c | 220$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Islanders | 66c | 211.61$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Islanders | 66c | 170.78$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.28 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe96b…eb54backed Blue Jackets | 25c | 130$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Islanders | 69c | 122.07$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Islanders | 68c | 117$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Islanders | 75c | 116$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Islanders | 67c | 112.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed Islanders | 71c | 103$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…038ebacked Blue Jackets | 32c | 94.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked Blue Jackets | 33c | 76.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Blue Jackets | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Islanders | 68c | 59.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58fe…dc22backed Islanders | 71c | 57.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd6…24c5backed Blue Jackets | 32c | 52.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dab…dc59backed Islanders | 72c | 52.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Islanders | 69c | 35.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…2c9bbacked Islanders | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Islanders | 66c | 34.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Islanders | 68c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…1a5cbacked Islanders | 69c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Islanders | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Islanders | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…4745backed Islanders | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Islanders | 72c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Islanders | 69c | 14.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)this page
- Blue Jackets vs. IslandersIslanders won
- Blue Jackets vs. Islanders: O/U 4.5Under won
- Blue Jackets vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blue Jackets vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Under won
- Blue Jackets vs. Islanders: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.