NHL · resolved market
Blue Jackets vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a66270173674a4689b6c7d89151e5f6411d4a6ca8049b334068677d1dc768fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,011 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 54c | 22,663$12,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,478.17 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…0880backed Over | 47c | 6,300$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfed…db6fbacked Under | 53c | 5,700$3,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,679 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 48c | 4,214$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2c…bb26backed Over | 46c | 3,900$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.01 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 46c | 3,890$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.39 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 53c | 1,000$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 54c | 945.57$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.96 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d100backed Under | 54c | 900$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 59c | 894.62$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.38 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 651.23$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda6…e5f3backed Under | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 571.08$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.15 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 54c | 567$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.82 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 53c | 457$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.79 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Over | 46c | 249.96$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.98 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 57c | 176.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4647…a7f2backed Over | 46c | 171.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 54c | 144.7$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 54c | 102.23$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…1783backed Under | 54c | 83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 39c | 72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 54c | 65.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Under | 51c | 61.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Over | 49c | 52.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 61c | 52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Over | 41c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 41c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4386backed Under | 54c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f2…f351backed Under | 54c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 41c | 43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Under | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 53c | 25.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jackets vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5this page
- Blue Jackets vs. IslandersIslanders won
- Blue Jackets vs. Islanders: O/U 4.5Under won
- Blue Jackets vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blue Jackets vs. Islanders: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Islanders won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.