NHL · resolved market
Blue Jackets vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb177c72f1da0e2cd463ae1fe195297a4db268659930670e0f4b667581775a7df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,306 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 55c | 26,459$14,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,586.09 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 41c | 10,565$4,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,233.18 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 5,246$2,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.05 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 42c | 3,049$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.67 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 41c | 1,365$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.16 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Under | 57c | 1,230$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.84 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 1,047$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.58 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 59c | 809.14$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.6 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 57c | 750$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.8 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 41c | 606.87$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.05 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 589.92$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.11 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 41c | 536.59$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.59 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed Over | 47c | 482.14$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 41c | 459$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.81 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Under | 41c | 433.75$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.91 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +9.5wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 53c | 377.6$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.52 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 355.04$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.5 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 44c | 267$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.48 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 42c | 220$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 42c | 214.29$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.29 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 58c | 181$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 47c | 170.89$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.32 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 41c | 170$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 42c | 167$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.86 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 54c | 142$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.34 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 58c | 78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 56c | 63.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Under | 65c | 62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 54.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 41c | 54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf6…2971backed Under | 41c | 51.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd6…24c5backed Under | 42c | 40.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 47c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…1b45backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 41c | 33.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 57c | 32.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Over | 45c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Over | 45c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 45c | 30.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7132…f7f0backed Over | 59c | 22.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…e152backed Over | 59c | 22.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -13.7wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…28e6backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jackets vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5this page
- Blue Jackets vs. IslandersIslanders won
- Blue Jackets vs. Islanders: O/U 4.5Under won
- Blue Jackets vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Under won
- Blue Jackets vs. Islanders: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Islanders won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.