NHL · resolved market
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe79f7f6b567fbb7d45e44086303a833f02a80a31dec31cd8d3f556294beb53c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jacketsof Islanders, Blue Jackets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,293 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Islanders | 2c | 601$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Islanders | 26c | 353.33$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.41 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jackets | 70c | 319$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Blue Jackets | 69c | 213.74$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.26 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cc…4632backed Blue Jackets | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Islanders | 30c | 190.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Islanders | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Islanders | 26c | 129.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blue Jackets | 53c | 121$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jackets | 59c | 95.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Blue Jackets | 70c | 80.06$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Islanders | 40c | 62.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Blue Jackets | 59c | 45.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Islanders | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…c6ccbacked Blue Jackets | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Islanders | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Islanders | 44c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Blue Jackets | 58c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Blue Jackets | 75c | 19.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Blue Jackets | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…4020backed Blue Jackets | 73c | 13.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)this page
- Blue Jackets vs. IslandersIslanders won
- Blue Jackets vs. Islanders: O/U 4.5Under won
- Blue Jackets vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blue Jackets vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Under won
- Blue Jackets vs. Islanders: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.