MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd74f5abb674a041315fd83e261ceaea3854044a69270a53ff343d826554f4748
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Arizona Diamondbacks, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $634,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $638,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $634,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45c9…414bbacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 280,253$168,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,101.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 149,910$59,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,784.9 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 75c | 101,980$76,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,083.57 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 85,273$33,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,743.96 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de3…a1fabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 21c | 78,838$16,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,640 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 77,777$31,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,110.8 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 30,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 20,304$12,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,022.31 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 15,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Chicago Cubs | 74c | 14,430$10,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,747.08 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 12,500$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,375 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Chicago Cubs | 75c | 12,091$9,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,031.5 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 12,027$7,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,709.07 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 9,815$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,815.19 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 9,643$3,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,778.93 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 9,100$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 22c | 6,818$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 6,557$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.38 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 31c | 5,396$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.21 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 5,357$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 4,977$3,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.2 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 4,790$3,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.42 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 4,500$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 4,500$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.99 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 3,997$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.7 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 19c | 3,639$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b88…9856backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 22c | 2,888$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.89 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago Cubs | 74c | 2,594$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.9 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago Cubs | 79c | 2,528$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.37 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 1,914$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.61 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 14c | 1,619$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.87 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 9c | 1,603$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 1,574$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 13c | 1,462$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.99 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 8c | 1,325$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 1,228$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.41 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 19c | 1,218$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.45 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 1,200$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.25 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 1,152$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.37 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 1,086$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.4 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 1,081$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.35 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Cubs | 76c | 1,080$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.37 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd3…fed4backed Chicago Cubs | 79c | 1,071$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.54 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 24c | 1,017$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.24 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 916.77$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.54 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 912.22$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.01 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…1075backed Chicago Cubs | 75c | 886$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.25 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9301…82abbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 812.5$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked Chicago Cubs | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 31c | 710$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Chicago Cubs | 77c | 600.97$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.82 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 30c | 591$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.53 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 22c | 572.16$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbba5…cb7dbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 532.79$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.79 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 9c | 513.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…bac9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…461ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 495.87$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.35 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 19c | 463.16$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Cubs | 75c | 452.37$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.07 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6729…d586backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 429.43$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 426$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.4 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd65c…9a48backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 418.03$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.03 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Chicago Cubs | 75c | 400$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.66 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 371.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 317.16$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 299.97$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked Chicago Cubs | 67c | 293.54$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.74 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago Cubs | 77c | 289.79$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 15c | 282.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Chicago Cubs | 78c | 278.36$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.15 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Chicago Cubs | 80c | 263.08$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.67 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 254.9$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.78 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb0…bfbfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 253.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…5adfbacked Chicago Cubs | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…643cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 249.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.02 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Chicago Cubs | 71c | 246.31$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.42 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2445…ff62backed Chicago Cubs | 78c | 240$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 237.46$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago Cubs | 69c | 234.24$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.18 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Chicago Cubs | 75c | 204.92$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 2.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 4.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.