MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88ee8cfc3a2b410ccf05cc788e3e9a5d839ba4673ae633d3b5952f1a038d65ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Milwaukee Brewers, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $257,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $276,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $257,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 36,638$15,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,649.28 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 36,000$19,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,199.95 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 30,000$13,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,800 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 13,303$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,986.2 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 12,538$7,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,090.6 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,928.57 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Washington Nationals | 11c | 5,758$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.07 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 17c | 5,294$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.74 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 4,940$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 4,604$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 4,027$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.15 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 3,222$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.71 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 2,601$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.47 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 80c | 2,308$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.33 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Washington Nationals | 17c | 2,280$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.18 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 2,212$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.19 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Washington Nationals | 19c | 2,151$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.12 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 1,757$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.55 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Milwaukee Brewers | 71c | 1,426$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.13 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Washington Nationals | 18c | 1,320$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.53 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Washington Nationals | 19c | 1,235$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.96 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 79c | 1,127$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.97 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 80c | 1,100$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.18 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.91 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Milwaukee Brewers | 75c | 1,079$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.77 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals | 16c | 1,067$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.36 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Washington Nationals | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 960.41$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.79 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Washington Nationals | 21c | 899.37$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Washington Nationals | 17c | 888.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Washington Nationals | 29c | 884.67$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.29 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers | 73c | 875.54$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.72 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 76c | 812.52$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.64 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 738.94$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.33 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 75c | 697.21$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.82 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Washington Nationals | 15c | 673.2$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.87 | 194 | 42.3%82 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 652.48$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.62 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Washington Nationals | 14c | 637.38$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 620.03$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.38 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc96…1245backed Washington Nationals | 5c | 613.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Washington Nationals | 21c | 550.38$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.08 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals | 19c | 550.02$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 544.44$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 533.33$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Washington Nationals | 28c | 526.45$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.32 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 76c | 510.87$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.58 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 506.78$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.85 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Washington Nationals | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Washington Nationals | 31c | 499$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.82 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Washington Nationals | 4c | 493.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Washington Nationals | 20c | 459.12$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.78 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 450$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 440.69$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.31 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 430$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.2 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b18…7d40backed Washington Nationals | 8c | 401.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 401$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.46 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 80c | 393.75$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 78c | 380.03$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9482…36b4backed Washington Nationals | 28c | 379.11$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.97 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 366.67$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 365.95$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.02 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 74c | 357.67$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Washington Nationals | 14c | 340$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 332.14$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 330.09$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.84 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Washington Nationals | 15c | 329.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2add…0cfdbacked Washington Nationals | 9c | 318.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 99 | 28.3%28 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 298.54$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.33 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 266.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 266.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 78c | 260$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 233.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Washington Nationals | 16c | 226.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 226.56$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Washington Nationals | 20c | 225$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 223$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.35 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Washington Nationals | 25c | 221.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Washington Nationals | 10c | 207.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 204.41$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 350 | 47.4%166 W · 184 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 190.91$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.91 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Washington Nationals | 11c | 188.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Washington Nationals | 17c | 181.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 5.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington NationalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.