MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a2f001a50657a42a8485e4742f071381fa9634baab0b0cd7823c0b65d98d41d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 52c | 83,201$43,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,200.29 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 73,079$35,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,973.72 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 60c | 18,476$10,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,997.91 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 10,450$4,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,113.6 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 48c | 7,200$3,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,744 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 42c | 5,524$2,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185.13 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 49c | 4,360$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.99 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 3,081$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.93 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 51c | 2,195$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.82 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.03 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Under | 50c | 1,467$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.5 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Under | 50c | 1,329$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.08 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 52c | 1,200$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.4 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 43c | 1,121$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.47 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69cc…2e44backed Under | 62c | 802.42$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.92 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 52c | 798.23$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.88 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 628$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.56 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 568.72$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.05 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 58c | 528$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.3 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 52c | 451.69$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.76 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 48c | 431.79$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.85 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Under | 45c | 403.54$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.08 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Under | 48c | 379.19$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.18 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 52c | 375$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 38c | 295.15$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.52 | 194 | 42.3%82 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 48c | 291.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Over | 51c | 277.57$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.59 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 53c | 259.69$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.64 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed Under | 48c | 251.42$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.74 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 50c | 243.65$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.83 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 48c | 226$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.52 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 52c | 224.4$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.69 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 37c | 223.38$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.45 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 39c | 211.66$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.4 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0319…2f43backed Under | 58c | 194.97$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 41c | 189.47$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.19 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd68b…c39cbacked Under | 57c | 175$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 44c | 150.53$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa564…e6f3backed Over | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…abbbbacked Under | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…dcb7backed Over | 53c | 133$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 39c | 110.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 39c | 108.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.61 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Over | 52c | 107.69$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 230 | 51.7%119 W · 111 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 45c | 105$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 48c | 103.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 31c | 102.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 49c | 99.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c97…82adbacked Under | 51c | 96.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…1b45backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…8b84backed Under | 41c | 86.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 44c | 84.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.65 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Under | 47c | 82.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 51c | 80.49$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 49c | 64.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 49c | 59.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 49c | 59.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 62c | 58.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 50c | 58.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd7…8e4abacked Over | 52c | 57.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Over | 58c | 52.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 57c | 50.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…839fbacked Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Under | 45c | 41.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 52c | 40.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 38c | 38.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c4…c3b0backed Under | 50c | 37.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 60c | 37.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 42c | 36.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…b692backed Over | 52c | 30.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed Under | 40c | 30.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5880…c43cbacked Over | 53c | 28.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Over | 53c | 28.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299d…e85fbacked Over | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 51c | 26.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Over | 51c | 26.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Under | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 62c | 24.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Under | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae26…e478backed Under | 52c | 20.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington NationalsMilwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 5.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington NationalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.