MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0ace90301f0f71f6819ed1da1fe5ea233aed492d72a3adcdf69dc05de355d0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof New York Mets, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 40c | 1,400$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed New York Mets | 41c | 1,323$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa370…f228backed Los Angeles Angels | 70c | 1,303$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.18 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Angels | 76c | 1,110$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.27 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets | 28c | 890.42$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.57 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 738.32$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.33 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 21c | 734.92$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2513…91fbbacked New York Mets | 41c | 608.37$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.35 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Mets | 24c | 449.3$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.84 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked New York Mets | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 362.43$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.6 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed New York Mets | 22c | 358.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.28 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed New York Mets | 40c | 350.37$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.15 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 279.32$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.52 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked New York Mets | 43c | 260$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.96 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 192.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.53 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 176.47$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.72 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 169.49$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.58 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe96b…eb54backed New York Mets | 23c | 147.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…8680backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed New York Mets | 24c | 98.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed New York Mets | 38c | 86.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels | 67c | 83.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Mets | 24c | 81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…ceafbacked Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 226 | 53.1%120 W · 106 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked New York Mets | 25c | 72.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 235 | 22.6%53 W · 182 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 75c | 71.73$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Mets | 39c | 71.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed New York Mets | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked New York Mets | 32c | 69.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 68.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 63.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…fd93backed Los Angeles Angels | 79c | 62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed New York Mets | 39c | 54.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed New York Mets | 32c | 53.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 50.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Los Angeles Angels | 68c | 50.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed New York Mets | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed New York Mets | 33c | 45.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 268 | 53.4%143 W · 125 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 330 | 51.8%171 W · 159 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed New York Mets | 41c | 33.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 26.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 316 | 50.6%160 W · 156 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…2c8ebacked New York Mets | 40c | 25.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -54%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae26…e478backed Los Angeles Angels | 73c | 20.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc683…7483backed Los Angeles Angels | 74c | 18.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)this page
- New York Mets vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Los Angeles AngelsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.