MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc78ad796136871923cd926b3ca629ed9323333bc83bac7e63febcf7fe52b5c81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b88…9856backed Under | 56c | 2,997$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.75 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 55c | 1,494$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.1 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 39c | 1,444$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.07 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 30c | 1,243$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.94 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Under | 58c | 1,169$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.37 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 43c | 1,155$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Over | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Under | 72c | 1,083$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.14 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Under | 57c | 1,008$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.44 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f70…ce77backed Over | 7c | 1,001$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.04 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Over | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Under | 57c | 840.43$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.38 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 77c | 618.63$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.04 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 45c | 586.4$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.2 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 42c | 526.54$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.63 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.9 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Over | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Over | 6c | 343.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Under | 58c | 338.52$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce3…07b5backed Under | 64c | 312.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.31 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 46c | 310.17$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.77 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 62c | 305$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.7 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Over | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Over | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 322 | 66.5%214 W · 108 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Under | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 37c | 263.15$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.37 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Over | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 4.8%4 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 45c | 223.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Over | 44c | 204.56$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.51 | 848 | 40.2%341 W · 507 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 43c | 199.49$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.31 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 42c | 180$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 270 | 45.9%124 W · 146 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 54c | 176$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.28 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 36c | 136$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 44c | 132.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Over | 9c | 125$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 82 | 15.9%13 W · 69 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a96…998dbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 34c | 96.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 42c | 92.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 799 | 43.2%345 W · 454 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 33c | 87.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 51c | 80.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 41c | 74.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 52c | 73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 55c | 66.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 1,374 | 54.2%745 W · 629 L | +16.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 44c | 66.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 42c | 56.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Under | 59c | 56.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 56c | 53.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 64c | 51.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 419 | 36.5%153 W · 266 L | -31.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 44c | 48.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 57c | 44.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…a917backed Under | 57c | 43.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef3b…18b8backed Under | 57c | 43.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Under | 56c | 36.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…8339backed Under | 56c | 35.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Over | 37c | 35.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c4…c3b0backed Over | 44c | 34.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 43c | 34.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…c84cbacked Under | 57c | 32.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb633…871abacked Under | 53c | 32.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Under | 54c | 30.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf574…de82backed Under | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b4…1eccbacked Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Under | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 68c | 17.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5this page
- New York Mets vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Los Angeles AngelsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.