MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66675d1b23cd5f411eddc3ed949aff6a8e8ed3daa95438a5e8b3d9d3790aa996
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $677,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $714,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $677,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 438 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 101,496$61,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,583.35 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 74,356$30,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,736.38 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 50,000$19,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,999.99 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 47,750$27,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,557.96 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 47,721$28,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,484.48 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 32,000$12,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,480 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 26,286$10,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,921.03 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 25,300$15,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,614 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 33c | 23,737$7,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,769.81 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 20,000$12,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 15,932$9,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,053.98 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 15,369$4,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.43 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 14,851$5,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,703.9 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 14,533$5,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,616.01 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 14,228$8,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,406.64 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 13,782$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 13,493$5,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,038.84 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 12,749$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,972.18 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 12,459$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,558.64 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 12,000$7,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,560 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 10,547$4,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,093.04 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 9,165$3,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,497.68 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 9,147$3,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,567.26 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 9,135$3,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,813.45 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 8,245$3,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,215.55 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 8,100$3,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,187.59 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 7,040$2,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,675.2 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…c994backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 6,900$3,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,967 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…76dfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 6,668$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 6,638$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.57 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 6,350$2,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,976.49 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -13.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 5,694$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.77 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd943…3974backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 5,562$3,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8c00backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 4,833$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.33 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 4,804$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.82 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 4,582$2,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.16 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 4,462$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.54 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 4,110$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.9 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 4,062$3,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.82 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…fdc1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 3,850$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 3,828$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.09 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 3,765$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 3,675$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.26 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 3,639$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.11 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 3,500$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.99 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 3,474$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 3,362$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.18 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 3,247$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.01 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 3,114$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.21 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.99 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 2,804$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.78 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 2,580$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.1 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 2,543$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.1 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 2,419$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.35 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 2,210$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.72 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 2,185$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.23 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 2,105$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.06 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…118fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 22c | 2,093$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.27 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 2,053$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.44 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 1,995$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.29 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 1,981$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.12 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 1,957$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.12 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 1,917$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.63 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 1,781$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.31 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 1,689$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.21 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…4d22backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 1,532$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 1,415$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.72 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 1,409$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.98 | 717 | 50.1%359 W · 358 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 1,400$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ad…b33bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 1,314$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.72 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +18.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 1,192$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.21 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…36f4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 1,190$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.83 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cincinnati Reds | 14c | 1,134$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 1,110$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.87 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 1,024$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.36 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 12c | 1,002$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 1,000$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.38 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…f595backed Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 931.73$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.73 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…f8c3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 799.99$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…c332backed Cincinnati Reds | 13c | 773.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 754$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.06 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 731.23$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.98 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 710.43$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.07 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 708.06$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.06 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 707.49$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.85 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 693.5$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.66 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 680.87$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.67 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Cincinnati Reds | 19c | 656$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.61 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…38e5backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 642.5$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 628.46$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.48 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 622.5$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.26 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 614.51$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.28 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 599.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 596.92$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.48 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 1.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 2.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 4.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 5.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.