Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stanford Cardinal vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7171c9ba0504432e75821f61c91a23c192a3fdf2d2beb506d4f3fc5302ea8ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stanford Cardinalof Stanford Cardinal, North Carolina State Wolfpack
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,602 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x226b…cad6backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 43c | 5,026$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.42 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 54c | 3,788$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.79 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Stanford Cardinal | 63c | 2,237$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.85 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stanford Cardinal | 37c | 1,669$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.89 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 34c | 1,366$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.29 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Stanford Cardinal | 40c | 1,237$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.71 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Stanford Cardinal | 21c | 1,109$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.97 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e9…a60cbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 78c | 891.17$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.81 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 29c | 885.49$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.15 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -6.0wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Stanford Cardinal | 71c | 723.49$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.92 | 269 | 45.7%123 W · 146 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Stanford Cardinal | 75c | 656.52$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.64 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Stanford Cardinal | 22c | 594.25$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.03 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 78c | 498.58$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.93 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Stanford Cardinal | 26c | 455.12$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.14 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Stanford Cardinal | 24c | 401.59$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.21 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Stanford Cardinal | 49c | 400.77$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.39 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Stanford Cardinal | 22c | 398.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.05 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 27c | 369.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 75c | 363.98$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.98 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 50c | 362.57$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.57 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Stanford Cardinal | 73c | 357.75$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.33 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stanford Cardinal | 24c | 354.72$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.59 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stanford Cardinal | 46c | 334.06$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.61 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Stanford Cardinal | 21c | 299.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.99 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 78c | 298.22$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.6 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Stanford Cardinal | 25c | 278.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.97 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 51c | 236.94$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.36 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…4cb7backed Stanford Cardinal | 75c | 235.85$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Stanford Cardinal | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe96b…eb54backed Stanford Cardinal | 23c | 208.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.23 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c96…340fbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 25c | 201.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Stanford Cardinal | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 73c | 192.66$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.47 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 24c | 191.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 53c | 174.03$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.49 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 40c | 168.57$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.58 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Stanford Cardinal | 22c | 162.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.18 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Stanford Cardinal | 22c | 161.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.96 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Stanford Cardinal | 22c | 150$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Stanford Cardinal | 23c | 149.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.82 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 31c | 148.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Stanford Cardinal | 57c | 145.73$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Stanford Cardinal | 41c | 141.79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.38 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Stanford Cardinal | 79c | 129.93$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 33c | 127.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…bbcebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 78c | 127.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 78c | 127.44$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 79c | 125.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.42 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Stanford Cardinal | 39c | 120.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.42 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 21c | 117.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Stanford Cardinal | 25c | 116$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.03 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…8b9ebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 56c | 107.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked Stanford Cardinal | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stanford Cardinal | 56c | 92.93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 80c | 90.95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.76 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d8…0806backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 78c | 82$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Stanford Cardinal | 22c | 77.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.65 | 85 | 18.8%16 W · 69 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 57c | 76.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Stanford Cardinal | 64c | 76.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Stanford Cardinal | 70c | 74.45$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 83 | 72.3%60 W · 23 L | +14.6wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 28c | 72.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 55c | 72.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…befabacked Stanford Cardinal | 37c | 67.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 30c | 66.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Stanford Cardinal | 55c | 65.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 75c | 63.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…81abbacked Stanford Cardinal | 43c | 63.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Stanford Cardinal | 22c | 63.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Stanford Cardinal | 21c | 61.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Stanford Cardinal | 22c | 60.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 27c | 56.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Stanford Cardinal | 47c | 53.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0b…0874backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 48c | 51.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 68c | 46.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Stanford Cardinal | 23c | 43.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ef10backed Stanford Cardinal | 72c | 41.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcffd…7f24backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 78c | 38.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed Stanford Cardinal | 30c | 37.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82be…75abbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 79c | 24.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 69cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 78c | 23.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…aad6backed Stanford Cardinal | 78c | 19.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa9…c178backed Stanford Cardinal | 77c | 18.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 42 | 81%34 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…23a0backed Stanford Cardinal | 68c | 15.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 77c | 14.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stanford Cardinal vs. North Carolina State Wolfpackthis page
- Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-8.5)Stanford Cardinal won
- Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-9.5)Stanford Cardinal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.