MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdff28415f1cb175401ca292baff35cff2c40e24fc4b71c7826657d1a7bbb35f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof San Francisco Giants, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 30,740$15,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,062.57 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 21,011$10,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,294.64 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.97 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Francisco Giants | 14c | 19,995$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.03 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 15,871$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed San Francisco Giants | 10c | 9,065$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.5 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 4,125$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.29 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 4,049$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.61 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 68c | 3,534$2,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.12 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed San Francisco Giants | 19c | 3,340$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.62 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 3,266$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.34 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 75c | 3,248$2,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.65 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked San Francisco Giants | 3c | 2,500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 2,215$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.45 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfed…9d03backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 2,128$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 2,094$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.83 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked San Francisco Giants | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 369 | 32.8%121 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 1,742$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.44 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,688$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.2 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…8a89backed San Francisco Giants | 1c | 1,648$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 68 | 1.5%1 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,417$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.47 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 1,276$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.03 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 1,074$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.24 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 1,024$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.76 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 976.1$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.53 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked San Francisco Giants | 5c | 920$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 830.38$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.58 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…4555backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 829$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.21 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 801.32$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.65 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed San Francisco Giants | 24c | 777$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.53 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 753.89$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.53 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Francisco Giants | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed San Francisco Giants | 14c | 587.64$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.95 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked San Francisco Giants | 4c | 580$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00da…6afdbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 565.3$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Francisco Giants | 14c | 552.62$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.77 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…9c28backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 502.67$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.31 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked San Francisco Giants | 14c | 491$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed San Francisco Giants | 26c | 469.05$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.28 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 442.55$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.3 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed San Francisco Giants | 13c | 435.43$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed San Francisco Giants | 7c | 406.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 395.35$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.77 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 383.11$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.3 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…1fafbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 364.58$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 345$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked San Francisco Giants | 18c | 337.61$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 326$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.74 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 78c | 319.99$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 269.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…e4f6backed San Francisco Giants | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ee…e6c6backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…9882backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 213.67$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.56 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…7850backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 212.4$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.95 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked San Francisco Giants | 5c | 209.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 79c | 206.02$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 717 | 50.1%359 W · 358 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe96b…eb54backed San Francisco Giants | 16c | 203.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 200.92$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.45 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 195.93$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.13 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…10e8backed San Francisco Giants | 9c | 172.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 165.71$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.54 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 146.28$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed San Francisco Giants | 12c | 139.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed San Francisco Giants | 9c | 123.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed San Francisco Giants | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 945 | 55.2%522 W · 423 L | +31.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 70c | 115.68$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked San Francisco Giants | 15c | 114$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 104$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x355a…c9eebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 83.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 318 | 52.5%167 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82fd…4533backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 81$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…042ebacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 76.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 79c | 69.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdca…5382backed San Francisco Giants | 18c | 68.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 67.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b6…f6dfbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 65.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 286 | 40.9%117 W · 169 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 63.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 446 | 48.7%217 W · 229 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b5…a1f2backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…d0e5backed San Francisco Giants | 25c | 54.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 102 | 8.8%9 W · 93 L | -31.9wins | -0.31per pick | 40cpaid | -82%equal weight | 22-0.25 edge/pick |
| 0xdb94…a015backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74df…2b11backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 50.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…ac49backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 48.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 282 | 46.5%131 W · 151 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacksthis page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona DiamondbacksYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.