TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Houston Cougars vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Houston Cougarsof Houston Cougars, Oklahoma State Cowboys
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,225

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,225 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe9cb…d096backed Oklahoma State Cowboys29c3,339$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.0534943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Houston Cougars77c2,674$2,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.432,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Oklahoma State Cowboys9c2,531$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.0493447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Oklahoma State Cowboys2c2,292$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8315453.9%83 W · 71 L+16.8wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Oklahoma State Cowboys31c1,535$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.021,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Houston Cougars67c1,474$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.725,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Houston Cougars65c1,265$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.531646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Oklahoma State Cowboys12c1,080$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.0237947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Oklahoma State Cowboys12c1,013$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.151,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Oklahoma State Cowboys17c999.02$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.2914027.1%38 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Oklahoma State Cowboys12c948.7$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.125829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Oklahoma State Cowboys25c647.34$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.555,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Oklahoma State Cowboys32c607.77$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7949747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Oklahoma State Cowboys20c581.79$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.323,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Houston Cougars60c542.79$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.0434343.4%149 W · 194 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys5c484.34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.591,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys11c449.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9993941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Oklahoma State Cowboys18c423.85$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0655840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Oklahoma State Cowboys23c400.15$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.461,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Oklahoma State Cowboys11c397.31$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.782846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf26…609fbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys18c390.97$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.37425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x985f…7a5bbacked Houston Cougars73c376.71$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.719051.1%46 W · 44 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Oklahoma State Cowboys16c333.75$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.42,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa3…7e2ebacked Houston Cougars63c313.03$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.822040%8 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Oklahoma State Cowboys36c304.79$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6539742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Oklahoma State Cowboys11c287.71$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8824432%78 W · 166 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Houston Cougars76c265.79$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.643,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00ec…c21ebacked Oklahoma State Cowboys11c252.95$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.823243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9698…2504backed Oklahoma State Cowboys40c242.94$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.185540%22 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Oklahoma State Cowboys19c228.83$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9642934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe96b…eb54backed Oklahoma State Cowboys21c227.1$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.311323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Houston Cougars79c218.89$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.141,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Houston Cougars72c209.53$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5870349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Oklahoma State Cowboys26c203.28$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.184,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Oklahoma State Cowboys12c199.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.912,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys12c199.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9138837.6%146 W · 242 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Oklahoma State Cowboys13c199.21$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.923331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Oklahoma State Cowboys15c180.63$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0781528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…d84bbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys19c167.69$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Houston Cougars77c163.5$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.354,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Oklahoma State Cowboys26c162.18$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.631,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Oklahoma State Cowboys13c150$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1833445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Oklahoma State Cowboys31c149.64$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.794036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys33c148.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.611926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Oklahoma State Cowboys13c147.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8730945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Houston Cougars75c133.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4877142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c62…e45abacked Oklahoma State Cowboys12c124.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd33f…3e82backed Oklahoma State Cowboys19c121.6$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+56.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Oklahoma State Cowboys27c118.52$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.172,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba21…b92cbacked Houston Cougars74c100.67$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Oklahoma State Cowboys13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1316755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8583…e3e3backed Oklahoma State Cowboys20c99.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.893435.3%12 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-30.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Houston Cougars78c99.39$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1627358.6%160 W · 113 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5f3…1fc1backed Oklahoma State Cowboys11c95.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.553850%19 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Houston Cougars72c93.05$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4893247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ca3…3ca5backed Oklahoma State Cowboys40c80.2$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys13c78.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x497a…650fbacked Houston Cougars67c74.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.445339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Houston Cougars74c67.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.456357.1%36 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Oklahoma State Cowboys24c61.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.91926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick19cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Oklahoma State Cowboys31c59.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.581,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x9b98…e295backed Oklahoma State Cowboys39c53.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.832245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93e3…e590backed Oklahoma State Cowboys29c52.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.315623.2%13 W · 43 L-9.9wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-46.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x5ca6…3841backed Oklahoma State Cowboys27c45.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.327031.4%22 W · 48 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Oklahoma State Cowboys42c42.49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8515246.7%71 W · 81 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Oklahoma State Cowboys33c37.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.271233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-41%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ee1…377abacked Oklahoma State Cowboys34c34.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.76955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Houston Cougars77c31.24$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2614049.3%69 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Houston Cougars65c22.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.917057.1%40 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Houston Cougars79c21.68$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5460551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.