Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Houston Cougars vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 148.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e195c7d4879222c86de8aacc4cdf174236bedecee56a8d3bc273d14fbc48e15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,021 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 54c | 3,538$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.36 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 50c | 2,235$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.01 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 2,037$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.27 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 1,742$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.35 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Under | 56c | 1,294$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.62 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 54c | 924.28$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.65 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 46c | 733.88$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.17 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 55c | 328.62$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.22 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 48c | 312.21$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.52 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Over | 56c | 265.55$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.84 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 48c | 204.4$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.28 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e9…a60cbacked Under | 47c | 194.04$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Under | 45c | 99.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Over | 47c | 91.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Under | 56c | 88.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 88.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 45c | 55.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 44c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 44c | 33.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 56c | 31.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Over | 53c | 31.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 51c | 28.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 44c | 26.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 43c | 23.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcde9…fd96backed Over | 46c | 22.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 53c | 21.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Cougars vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 148.5this page
- Houston Cougars vs. Oklahoma State CowboysHouston Cougars won
- Houston Cougars vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 146.5Over won
- Houston Cougars vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 147.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-12.5)Oklahoma State Cowboys won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-13.5)Oklahoma State Cowboys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.