TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x00ec…c21e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 51 out of 100; worst Tennis at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST3243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas A&M Aggies vs. LSU Tigersbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$18.16
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.96
Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.96
Richmond Spiders vs. Duquesne Dukesbacked Richmond Spiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.98
Cornell Big Red vs. Dartmouth Big Greenbacked Dartmouth Big Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.98
Rhode Island Rams vs. Fordham Ramsbacked Fordham Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$13.33
La Salle Explorers vs. Saint Joseph's Hawksbacked La Salle Explorers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$21.27
Albany Great Danes vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawksbacked Albany Great Danes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$21.2
Connecticut Huskies vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Marquette Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+455.6%+$96.9
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Boston College Eaglesbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$27.68
Davidson Wildcats vs. St. Bonaventure Bonniesbacked Davidson Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+177.8%+$49.24
Houston Cougars vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$27.82
Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Mercyhurst Lakersbacked Stonehill Skyhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$26.97
Presbyterian Blue Hose vs. Radford Highlandersbacked Radford Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$54.52
UCF Knights vs. West Virginia Mountaineersbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$38.68
VCU Rams vs. Dayton Flyersbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$51.55
Penn Quakers vs. Brown Bearsbacked Brown Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$49.56
Columbia Lions vs. Harvard Crimsonbacked Harvard Crimson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$34.72
Longwood Lancers vs. UNC Asheville Bulldogsbacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.57
Northeastern Huskies vs. North Carolina A&T Aggiesbacked Northeastern Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$50.55
San Diego Toreros vs. Loyola Marymount Lionsbacked San Diego Toreros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+270.4%+$72.5
UC Davis Aggies vs. Long Beach State Beachbacked Long Beach State Beach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$34.72
Southern Jaguars vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogsbacked Southern Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.76
Michigan Wolverines vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$22.86
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Missouri State Bearsbacked Missouri State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+120.2%+$54.32
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-69%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$21.38
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs FriendlyCampers (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked FriendlyCampers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$32.65
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs paiN Academy (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$32.65
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$160.8
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagebacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Metizport (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagebacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+44.9%+$30.55
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Group Bbacked Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ex-KRÜ Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffsbacked ex-KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$21.62
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100.4%+$50.2
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Hurricanes vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Panthers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Senators vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$39.4
Maple Leafs vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$46
Utah vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Islanders vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$59.09
Maple Leafs vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+156.4%+$61
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$22.87
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+100%+$50
All 5 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipeibacked South Korea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.72
First Round Pool A: Canada vs. Colombiabacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$29.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Pixel Lumina vs VR2 (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffsbacked VR2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.