CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23a9ff5a9f70f3a3c3f821714ab6541b7fe208aa7b5c00e5930fb1452c84965b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Under | 49c | 109,893$53,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,847.52 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,000 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 10,689$5,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,237.62 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Under | 49c | 1,111$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.39 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Under | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 51c | 999.99$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.87 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Over | 51c | 998.03$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.03 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Under | 50c | 608$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…7287backed Under | 56c | 538.22$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 49c | 502.16$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Under | 48c | 495.13$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.66 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Over | 52c | 423.08$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.08 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe629…c9e2backed Over | 60c | 301$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x801f…571fbacked Over | 60c | 230$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…2418backed Under | 40c | 211$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Under | 49c | 199$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8039…575cbacked Under | 43c | 194$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…7c94backed Over | 60c | 183$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca8…bf6bbacked Over | 60c | 175$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c69…2e8bbacked Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 47c | 137.77$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7364…f19cbacked Under | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac6…82aabacked Under | 40c | 128$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…9941backed Under | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Over | 36c | 117.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.22 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 50c | 103.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 49c | 101.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5991…7760backed Under | 40c | 100.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 52c | 95.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 47c | 85.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 20c | 79.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.09 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 51c | 79.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e66…e1b2backed Under | 49c | 70.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 52c | 67.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 40c | 64.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34f5…9639backed Under | 64c | 61.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bf…c71ebacked Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 40c | 58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…b2f5backed Under | 64c | 55.66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Over | 50c | 52.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ec…c21ebacked Under | 49c | 45.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…3152backed Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57c9…9c9dbacked Over | 37c | 40.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6f…ec8bbacked Over | 52c | 35.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Under | 50c | 30.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 157 | 65%102 W · 55 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x149d…ddbdbacked Under | 34c | 29.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 40c | 29.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…9b54backed Over | 53c | 28.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…a463backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b3…87adbacked Under | 44c | 22.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Over | 50c | 20.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…ba10backed Over | 50c | 20.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…7593backed Over | 50c | 20.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…80d0backed Over | 50c | 20.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c47…2e55backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0003…9492backed Under | 54c | 18.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41a…1ca0backed Under | 64c | 15.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1Liquid won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid - Map 1 WinnerLiquid won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.