TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
M80of M80, Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$252,191

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,191 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee00…cea1backed M8042c44,715$18,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,883.3823355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Liquid58c18,065$10,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,477.0421048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Liquid57c11,300$6,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,42872453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked Liquid58c9,113$5,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,256.9115760.5%95 W · 62 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed Liquid57c9,056$5,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,186.839153.8%49 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Liquid58c9,000$5,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,22035153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked M8020c8,914$1,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,141.4230726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Liquid66c7,790$5,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,148.211,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed M8044c6,450$2,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,586.2312649.2%62 W · 64 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Liquid53c5,991$3,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,201.251,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Liquid53c5,103$2,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,708.951,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked M8031c4,325$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,978.716448.2%79 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d9e…456bbacked M8045c4,275$1,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,357.045655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+57.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0785…81c3backed Liquid77c3,718$2,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,845.0515970.4%112 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked M8027c3,130$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,288.692,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed M8066c2,563$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.5517249.4%85 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed M8031c2,102$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,456.0941850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Liquid54c1,918$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.7822049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Liquid58c1,911$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.475245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed M8046c1,900$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.0312742.5%54 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed M8042c1,851$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.612653.2%67 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed M8048c1,720$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.446,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked M8034c1,566$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.557,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed Liquid59c1,490$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.1816947.9%81 W · 88 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked M8030c1,461$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.7327947.7%133 W · 146 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e3a…780cbacked M8045c1,450$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.074634.8%16 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed M8021c1,329$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.5614532.4%47 W · 98 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Liquid60c1,282$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.312,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked M8039c1,245$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.759839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Liquid52c1,229$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.2297040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a97…66f5backed Liquid55c1,188$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6593545.7%16 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x56b4…c4adbacked Liquid58c1,165$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.6513845.7%63 W · 75 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed M8015c1,123$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.9519549.7%97 W · 98 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x809c…eca3backed M8037c1,053$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.24759.6%28 W · 19 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e8a…42a0backed Liquid78c962.67$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7482040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Liquid44c939.28$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.6747738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Liquid58c855.34$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018049.4%89 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed M8045c851.11$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.1124944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed Liquid59c850.5$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.526451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked Liquid60c831.59$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50042050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked M8019c770.66$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.933,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed M8040c742.5$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.552947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Liquid40c732.37$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2954940.8%20 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Liquid57c719.98$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.3960848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed M8028c660$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.212021.7%26 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked M8039c642.02$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.7716235.8%58 W · 104 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed M8040c613.17$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.814,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked M8029c600.65$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.6526438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Liquid19c600$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1141,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed M8019c600$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48631444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Liquid34c578$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.162,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed M8021c562.2$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.234146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Liquid30c546.61$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.93,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked Liquid59c535.63$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.028840.9%36 W · 52 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Liquid19c516.09$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.985,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed M8028c501$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.095,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked M8019c500$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40535850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked M8048c500$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.065,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Liquid56c490.13$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.4713546.7%63 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed M8047c455.1$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.054,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Liquid10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4041716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc935…2579backed M8045c400$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2225248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1698…68e8backed Liquid78c384.62$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011470.2%80 W · 34 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked M8047c378.19$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.073,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed M8038c244.98$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.131,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Liquid30c240.45$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.561,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Liquid52c237.74$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.511,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa019…c220backed Liquid27c237.01$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.821437.9%81 W · 133 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6846…a82fbacked Liquid61c233.09$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.957865.4%51 W · 27 L+13.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+35.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Liquid68c223.87$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.61,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Liquid58c223.61$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.7341260.9%251 W · 161 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…f764backed M8046c223.39$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.633754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b8…d47dbacked Liquid70c221.28$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15560857.2%348 W · 260 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf54c…e6ccbacked M8046c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.396934.8%24 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Liquid16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked M8041c199.99$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.072,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf32…895cbacked Liquid57c182.84$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3f8…4d2abacked Liquid59c179.37$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10518554.1%100 W · 85 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01a…bf29backed Liquid72c168.96$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9810167.3%68 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed Liquid8c166$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.233448.2%161 W · 173 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Liquid27c153.4$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0559647.3%282 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Liquid57c145.61$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8376748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Liquid65c137.56$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.891,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4695…210abacked Liquid77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001850%9 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6556…f5b4backed M8048c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652544%11 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+15.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5f59…bd2dbacked M8041c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.954660.9%28 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Liquid62c120.84$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7531757.7%183 W · 134 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked M8042c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0571951%367 W · 352 L+28.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed M8042c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0598856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed Liquid56c110.3$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7712259.8%73 W · 49 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x697e…c4dfbacked Liquid59c110$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.926862.3%167 W · 101 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27c…79e0backed Liquid63c104.92$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.123161.5%142 W · 89 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe3…949cbacked M8027c104.2$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.27534.7%26 W · 49 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked M8042c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked Liquid70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010250%51 W · 51 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed M8028c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7262538.6%241 W · 384 L-16.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81d…b365backed Liquid52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+31.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed M8042c95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.11,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x912e…0eaebacked Liquid18c91.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5336434.1%124 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Liquid58c88.25$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1811353.1%60 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.