TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Liquidof M80, Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$201,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,119 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked M8026c98,465$26,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,085.4942440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Liquid74c95,326$70,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,409.8222049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed M8052c12,000$6,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,239.9972453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked Liquid57c7,940$4,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,394.7915760.5%95 W · 62 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed Liquid49c7,568$3,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,879.886450%32 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed M800c6,373$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.551,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed M8050c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00011655.2%64 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Liquid61c5,280$3,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,071.151,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Liquid60c5,099$3,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.191,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Liquid48c4,167$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.6712552.8%66 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked M8038c3,900$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48222550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Liquid63c3,605$2,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.073,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed Liquid73c3,500$2,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94552750.7%267 W · 260 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Liquid60c1,826$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.082,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked M8054c1,671$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.3575245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Liquid52c1,564$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.064,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked M8019c1,500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.6161228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d2…1b03backed M8031c1,475$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4556233.9%21 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+41.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed Liquid47c1,362$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.1320838%79 W · 129 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Liquid49c1,144$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.256243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed M8024c1,100$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.2912021.7%26 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed M8028c1,072$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.2514532.4%47 W · 98 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked M8016c1,041$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.91,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked M8026c987.74$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25226438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked M8034c959$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.3247738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked M8033c886.44$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2908840.9%36 W · 52 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed Liquid64c877.06$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.916947.9%81 W · 88 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75b3…be68backed M8050c821.82$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.91742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked M8051c793.19$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.421,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked M802c790.21$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.287,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked M8052c765.16$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed M8040c757.88$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30069635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed M802c700$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.147641.6%198 W · 278 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked M8051c700$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35719741.6%82 W · 115 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Liquid73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9383543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed M8038c684.21$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2609552.6%50 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked M8039c600$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23418049.4%89 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed M8021c600$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12631444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9589…5b36backed Liquid60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2404862.5%30 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Liquid73c597.02$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.936,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed M8049c556.9$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.8834146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Liquid74c546.82$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9638868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b19…a980backed M8030c518.58$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.951650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked M8054c510.2$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.249849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed M8040c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20043933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Liquid64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18039851.3%204 W · 194 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed M8036c490$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.446949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Liquid77c487.8$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.625349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Liquid46c414.79$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.9911046.4%51 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…f764backed M8047c356.67$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.553754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed M8038c349$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.7329831.5%94 W · 204 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd03b…c2c6backed Liquid46c330$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.22250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x986a…f294backed M8053c330$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.93040%12 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1aee…8796backed M8049c318.32$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.3128254.6%154 W · 128 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed M8053c261.52$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13932653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked M8031c210$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6360147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed M8024c210$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.454732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7447…91ecbacked Liquid80c206.25$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2512348%59 W · 64 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ab…138cbacked M8033c203.8$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.28633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Liquid74c202.72$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.955,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9107…b3e8backed M8051c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc2…9c0dbacked M8030c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012637.3%47 W · 79 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed M8047c184$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.351,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked M8055c178.18$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9853859.3%319 W · 219 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fa7…2bb4backed M8055c171.77$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.543145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Liquid68c169.47$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6452755.8%294 W · 233 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed M8037c157.4$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.51,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Liquid46c154.38$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3716235.8%58 W · 104 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Liquid53c149.5$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.283,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Liquid61c145.84$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.681,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1be0…8892backed M8021c143.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304951%25 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Liquid48c132.73$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5438844.6%173 W · 215 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed M8010c130$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1396545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe727…8eb1backed M8041c126.83$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210051%51 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked M809c122.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1180741.3%333 W · 474 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked M8042c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed M8045c112$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.46144.3%27 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked M8047c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5071951%367 W · 352 L+28.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x515c…fd9abacked M8019c105.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Liquid60c102.33$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.512,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Liquid73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2723848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa019…c220backed M8020c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021437.9%81 W · 133 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Liquid45c96.4$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.025,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b14…5d9cbacked M8026c90$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.315348.4%74 W · 79 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed Liquid73c82.25$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2120942.1%88 W · 121 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d38…dee2backed M8040c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Liquid45c66.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.417724.7%19 W · 58 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed Liquid62c65.65$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9512259.8%73 W · 49 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked M8046c63.62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4959647.3%282 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed M8051c62.75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked M8025c62.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.653,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Liquid46c61.85$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.422931.4%72 W · 157 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb835…6fc9backed M8038c57.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Liquid57c56.11$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9645956.9%261 W · 198 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ca6…3841backed Liquid69c55.71$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.211241.1%46 W · 66 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Liquid56c55.38$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.312,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed M8031c54.65$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.832,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Liquid46c50.12$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0619549.7%97 W · 98 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Liquid47c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.519155.5%106 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed M8026c49.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.064729.8%14 W · 33 L-9.3wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-43.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.