Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Richmond Spiders vs. Duquesne Dukes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a88facc324e108b56e2141a645c853ec771efb27805d735de8887cd074d71dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duquesne Dukesof Richmond Spiders, Duquesne Dukes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,910 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Duquesne Dukes | 54c | 1,773$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.25 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Richmond Spiders | 63c | 1,137$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.95 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Richmond Spiders | 34c | 884$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.56 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Duquesne Dukes | 65c | 826.37$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.23 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Duquesne Dukes | 65c | 673.46$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…d9e6backed Richmond Spiders | 33c | 671.76$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.68 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Duquesne Dukes | 16c | 558.84$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.79 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Duquesne Dukes | 35c | 533.94$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.41 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Duquesne Dukes | 63c | 529.87$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.05 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Duquesne Dukes | 6c | 447.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.51 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Duquesne Dukes | 14c | 431.94$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.56 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Duquesne Dukes | 24c | 424.01$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.05 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Duquesne Dukes | 22c | 400.93$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.81 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Richmond Spiders | 35c | 399.65$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.88 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Duquesne Dukes | 65c | 302.11$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.74 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Richmond Spiders | 34c | 279.79$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.13 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Richmond Spiders | 35c | 279.76$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Duquesne Dukes | 65c | 211$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Richmond Spiders | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Richmond Spiders | 30c | 199.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Richmond Spiders | 35c | 191.47$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.01 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Richmond Spiders | 35c | 174.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Duquesne Dukes | 64c | 150.43$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Richmond Spiders | 37c | 150$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Richmond Spiders | 36c | 145.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Richmond Spiders | 37c | 135.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Richmond Spiders | 54c | 129$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.29 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Duquesne Dukes | 10c | 124.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.52 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac94…e414backed Duquesne Dukes | 63c | 116.03$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +152.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Richmond Spiders | 35c | 106.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Duquesne Dukes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Duquesne Dukes | 65c | 91.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Richmond Spiders | 62c | 85.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Richmond Spiders | 73c | 79.13$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Duquesne Dukes | 32c | 69.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Richmond Spiders | 50c | 63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Richmond Spiders | 35c | 59.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Richmond Spiders | 35c | 59.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Duquesne Dukes | 31c | 56.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Richmond Spiders | 36c | 49.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ec…c21ebacked Richmond Spiders | 35c | 48.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Richmond Spiders | 77c | 42.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Richmond Spiders | 77c | 41.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…0c59backed Richmond Spiders | 36c | 30.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Richmond Spiders | 78c | 28.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Richmond Spiders | 77c | 24.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Richmond Spiders | 76c | 20.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Duquesne Dukes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Richmond Spiders | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Duquesne Dukes | 63c | 18.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Duquesne Dukes | 63c | 18.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Richmond Spiders vs. Duquesne Dukesthis page
- Richmond Spiders vs. Duquesne Dukes: O/U 149.5Over won
- Spread: Duquesne Dukes (-4.5)Richmond Spiders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.