CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92bb26b6caf72348ebbe6c48473a81c97af8e1c66b5698c33f130a80c0f102c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof MOUZ NXT, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,992 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe0a5…b7babacked MOUZ NXT | 0c | 8,396$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUBY | 59c | 1,953$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.53 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked MOUZ NXT | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed MOUZ NXT | 41c | 503.75$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.54 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked MOUZ NXT | 46c | 484.15$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ex-RUBY | 58c | 426.22$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.16 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed MOUZ NXT | 41c | 295$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.13 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed MOUZ NXT | 24c | 202.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked MOUZ NXT | 34c | 202.91$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.77 | 1,087 | 31.9%347 W · 740 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ NXT | 50c | 163.81$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.88 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed MOUZ NXT | 26c | 153.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked ex-RUBY | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MOUZ NXT | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed ex-RUBY | 78c | 139$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked MOUZ NXT | 42c | 126$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 126$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked MOUZ NXT | 43c | 100.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ec…c21ebacked MOUZ NXT | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…89d0backed ex-RUBY | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked MOUZ NXT | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…0956backed ex-RUBY | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed MOUZ NXT | 54c | 92.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 1,649 | 46.9%774 W · 875 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MOUZ NXT | 18c | 89.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed ex-RUBY | 58c | 86.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed MOUZ NXT | 41c | 84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked MOUZ NXT | 44c | 77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked ex-RUBY | 50c | 75.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked ex-RUBY | 73c | 71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed MOUZ NXT | 26c | 70.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed MOUZ NXT | 50c | 60.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f50…e59ebacked MOUZ NXT | 42c | 59.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked ex-RUBY | 78c | 58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed MOUZ NXT | 33c | 51.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…4bc4backed MOUZ NXT | 42c | 49.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed ex-RUBY | 60c | 48.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed MOUZ NXT | 34c | 44.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed MOUZ NXT | 27c | 41.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked MOUZ NXT | 40c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed MOUZ NXT | 51c | 36.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…fdacbacked ex-RUBY | 75c | 35.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed ex-RUBY | 58c | 35.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed MOUZ NXT | 43c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked MOUZ NXT | 40c | 31.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked MOUZ NXT | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 470 | 47.9%225 W · 245 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed ex-RUBY | 75c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf73…53edbacked MOUZ NXT | 40c | 26.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…35d0backed ex-RUBY | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 78cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.