TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Penn Quakers vs. Brown Bears

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Penn Quakersof Penn Quakers, Brown Bears
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,182

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,182 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Penn Quakers51c55,948$28,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,453.2589645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Brown Bears49c20,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,8004050%20 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Brown Bears33c13,666$4,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,517.735,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Brown Bears49c13,657$6,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,758.3184147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Penn Quakers52c7,226$3,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,492.2137947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Brown Bears49c6,797$3,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,329.7912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Penn Quakers53c6,663$3,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,142.671,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Penn Quakers73c6,559$4,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,762.4931837.7%120 W · 198 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Brown Bears49c5,231$2,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,545.712,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Brown Bears49c4,597$2,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,252.514738.3%18 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Penn Quakers59c3,370$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.113,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Penn Quakers54c3,022$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.122,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Brown Bears45c3,000$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36561652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Brown Bears46c2,587$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.829845.9%45 W · 53 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Brown Bears50c2,387$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.591,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Brown Bears46c2,326$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.431233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67d6…b04bbacked Brown Bears51c2,018$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.82339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-27.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Brown Bears50c2,012$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.1274649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Brown Bears31c2,003$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.361,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Penn Quakers65c1,989$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.462,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Brown Bears26c1,216$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.2525829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Penn Quakers73c1,128$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.663,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Penn Quakers54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46021549.3%106 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Penn Quakers74c904.37$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.6618548.6%90 W · 95 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Brown Bears46c829.93$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.192246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Penn Quakers51c811.99$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.221,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Brown Bears50c674.08$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.0334746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Brown Bears46c650.3$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.1478052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Brown Bears44c519.66$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.624,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Brown Bears26c514.52$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.6693447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Brown Bears45c480.09$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.244,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Penn Quakers50c476.36$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.285,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Brown Bears23c416.88$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.892,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Brown Bears24c398.78$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5842934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3577…0e8cbacked Brown Bears49c392.46$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.31631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-40.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Brown Bears41c356.25$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4677142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Brown Bears48c355.58$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.8981528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed Brown Bears25c329.73$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Brown Bears46c323.25$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.71,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Penn Quakers76c309.25$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.281,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Brown Bears30c279.39$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.991,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Penn Quakers76c240.18$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.222,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x701f…9b8fbacked Brown Bears47c221.46$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.083151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Brown Bears46c215.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1383350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Penn Quakers66c209.81$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6849747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Brown Bears49c202.3$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1318851.6%97 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Brown Bears49c202.3$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.137454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Brown Bears43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Penn Quakers51c198.25$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.142,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Penn Quakers51c193.77$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6540252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Penn Quakers62c160.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1839742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Penn Quakers67c154.87$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8216255.6%90 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Brown Bears46c154.64$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1425837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Brown Bears46c150.68$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3150548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Brown Bears49c149.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1533445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Brown Bears45c149.88$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.771,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Penn Quakers75c136.48$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.273,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Brown Bears45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6021937.4%82 W · 137 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Brown Bears49c133.02$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1822544.9%101 W · 124 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7cd…e98dbacked Brown Bears28c124.32$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.415343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Brown Bears46c107.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5732246.6%150 W · 172 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Penn Quakers74c100.8$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3116243.8%71 W · 91 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Penn Quakers50c99.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4616721%35 W · 132 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Brown Bears46c99.13$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.626945.7%123 W · 146 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ec…c21ebacked Brown Bears50c99.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.563243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Penn Quakers62c98.35$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1361446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7941…7bfebacked Brown Bears37c96.3$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.923132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Penn Quakers54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.594,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9450…d9e6backed Brown Bears50c91.09$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.542536%9 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Penn Quakers78c80.19$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2927055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Brown Bears25c78.63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.331,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Brown Bears47c76.92$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1521850.5%110 W · 108 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Brown Bears49c71.08$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.862140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Penn Quakers65c69.31$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.051,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Penn Quakers78c68$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.281,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4522…ef10backed Penn Quakers57c63.87$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.184057.5%23 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Brown Bears42c62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0437441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Brown Bears45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279258.7%54 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed Brown Bears31c59.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.69845.9%45 W · 53 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Penn Quakers54c54.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2943053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Penn Quakers69c52.42$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2524951.8%129 W · 120 L+19.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Brown Bears49c50.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.653452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6483…750abacked Brown Bears47c49.56$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.38834.1%30 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c4a…4fb5backed Brown Bears50c49.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.787459.5%44 W · 30 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Brown Bears28c49.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9519348.7%94 W · 99 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x726c…6bfdbacked Penn Quakers51c48.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.812454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Penn Quakers55c47.25$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2616755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29e5…3c3fbacked Brown Bears36c44.66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.87475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+51.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Brown Bears49c40.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9161244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2db9…846cbacked Brown Bears49c40.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.835549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed Brown Bears49c40.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.834946.9%23 W · 26 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Penn Quakers68c40.01$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.671,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc990…80bbbacked Brown Bears49c39.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.433135.5%11 W · 20 L-5.6wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-37.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Brown Bears50c38.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.433554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa330…9d33backed Penn Quakers52c38.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.31338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Penn Quakers76c35.1$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4984854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaaf6…2971backed Brown Bears46c32.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.873951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Brown Bears47c31.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9130050.7%152 W · 148 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Brown Bears47c31.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9132850%164 W · 164 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Penn Quakers51c29.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5734952.1%182 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.