Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Penn Quakers vs. Brown Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99be693cd7c6f0c819b10184f62a5c53ebe315a5fab2bb0ee4ba24890df90d0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penn Quakersof Penn Quakers, Brown Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,182 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Penn Quakers | 51c | 55,948$28,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,453.25 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Brown Bears | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Brown Bears | 33c | 13,666$4,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,517.73 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Brown Bears | 49c | 13,657$6,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,758.31 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Penn Quakers | 52c | 7,226$3,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,492.21 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Brown Bears | 49c | 6,797$3,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,329.79 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Penn Quakers | 53c | 6,663$3,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,142.67 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Penn Quakers | 73c | 6,559$4,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.49 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Brown Bears | 49c | 5,231$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.71 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Brown Bears | 49c | 4,597$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.51 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Penn Quakers | 59c | 3,370$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.11 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Penn Quakers | 54c | 3,022$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.12 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Brown Bears | 45c | 3,000$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Brown Bears | 46c | 2,587$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.82 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Brown Bears | 50c | 2,387$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.59 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Brown Bears | 46c | 2,326$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.43 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…b04bbacked Brown Bears | 51c | 2,018$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.8 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Brown Bears | 50c | 2,012$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.12 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Brown Bears | 31c | 2,003$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.36 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Penn Quakers | 65c | 1,989$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.46 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Brown Bears | 26c | 1,216$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.25 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penn Quakers | 73c | 1,128$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.66 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Penn Quakers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Penn Quakers | 74c | 904.37$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.66 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Brown Bears | 46c | 829.93$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.1 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Penn Quakers | 51c | 811.99$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.22 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Brown Bears | 50c | 674.08$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.03 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Brown Bears | 46c | 650.3$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.14 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Brown Bears | 44c | 519.66$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.62 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Brown Bears | 26c | 514.52$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.66 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Brown Bears | 45c | 480.09$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.24 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Penn Quakers | 50c | 476.36$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.28 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Brown Bears | 23c | 416.88$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Brown Bears | 24c | 398.78$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3577…0e8cbacked Brown Bears | 49c | 392.46$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.3 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Brown Bears | 41c | 356.25$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.46 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Brown Bears | 48c | 355.58$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.89 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Brown Bears | 25c | 329.73$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Brown Bears | 46c | 323.25$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.7 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Penn Quakers | 76c | 309.25$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Brown Bears | 30c | 279.39$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.99 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Penn Quakers | 76c | 240.18$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.22 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Brown Bears | 47c | 221.46$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Brown Bears | 46c | 215.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Penn Quakers | 66c | 209.81$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.68 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Brown Bears | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Brown Bears | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Brown Bears | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Penn Quakers | 51c | 198.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.14 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Penn Quakers | 51c | 193.77$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.65 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Penn Quakers | 62c | 160.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Penn Quakers | 67c | 154.87$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Brown Bears | 46c | 154.64$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.14 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Brown Bears | 46c | 150.68$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.31 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Brown Bears | 49c | 149.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Brown Bears | 45c | 149.88$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Penn Quakers | 75c | 136.48$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Brown Bears | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Brown Bears | 49c | 133.02$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.18 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…e98dbacked Brown Bears | 28c | 124.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Brown Bears | 46c | 107.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Penn Quakers | 74c | 100.8$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Penn Quakers | 50c | 99.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.46 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Brown Bears | 46c | 99.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 269 | 45.7%123 W · 146 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ec…c21ebacked Brown Bears | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Penn Quakers | 62c | 98.35$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…7bfebacked Brown Bears | 37c | 96.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Penn Quakers | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…d9e6backed Brown Bears | 50c | 91.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Penn Quakers | 78c | 80.19$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Brown Bears | 25c | 78.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Brown Bears | 47c | 76.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Brown Bears | 49c | 71.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Penn Quakers | 65c | 69.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Penn Quakers | 78c | 68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ef10backed Penn Quakers | 57c | 63.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Brown Bears | 42c | 62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Brown Bears | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed Brown Bears | 31c | 59.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Penn Quakers | 54c | 54.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Penn Quakers | 69c | 52.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Brown Bears | 49c | 50.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Brown Bears | 47c | 49.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…4fb5backed Brown Bears | 50c | 49.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Brown Bears | 28c | 49.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x726c…6bfdbacked Penn Quakers | 51c | 48.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Penn Quakers | 55c | 47.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29e5…3c3fbacked Brown Bears | 36c | 44.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Brown Bears | 49c | 40.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…846cbacked Brown Bears | 49c | 40.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…1b45backed Brown Bears | 49c | 40.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Penn Quakers | 68c | 40.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked Brown Bears | 49c | 39.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Brown Bears | 50c | 38.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa330…9d33backed Penn Quakers | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Penn Quakers | 76c | 35.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf6…2971backed Brown Bears | 46c | 32.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Brown Bears | 47c | 31.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Brown Bears | 47c | 31.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Penn Quakers | 51c | 29.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penn Quakers vs. Brown Bearsthis page
- Penn Quakers vs. Brown Bears: O/U 142.5Over won
- Penn Quakers vs. Brown Bears: O/U 144.5Under won
- Penn Quakers vs. Brown Bears: O/U 145.5Under won
- Penn Quakers vs. Brown Bears: O/U 146.5Under won
- Spread: Brown Bears (-1.5)Penn Quakers won
- Spread: Penn Quakers (-1.5)Penn Quakers won
- Spread: Penn Quakers (-2.5)Penn Quakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.