Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe513384ce9e42bcfdeda832c893d107402837e5a77cf73a4882cc66af76895ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Xtreme Gaming, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $361,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $361,887 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 420 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 19c | 16,319$3,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,175.27 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 11,618$5,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,530.1 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 10,061$4,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,828.31 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.99 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 8,072$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Spirit | 52c | 7,987$4,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.54 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Spirit | 54c | 7,785$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,584.77 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 56c | 7,477$4,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,271.83 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 6,790$4,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,787.81 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Spirit | 54c | 6,290$3,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,902.25 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 5,291$2,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,486.91 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 5,193$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Team Spirit | 67c | 4,184$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.9 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Team Spirit | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 3,792$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 3,789$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.21 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 3,592$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.56 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Spirit | 54c | 3,461$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.04 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 3,330$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 3,190$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.84 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Team Spirit | 53c | 3,132$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.12 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit | 71c | 3,100$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.22 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 3,050$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.1 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2564…d109backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 3,021$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.82 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2199…f619backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.99 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit | 60c | 2,948$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.62 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f1…83b0backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 2,836$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 2,790$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.42 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 2,600$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.03 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…e217backed Team Spirit | 52c | 2,479$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.98 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 2,423$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.19 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 2,375$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.25 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee8…dbb1backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 2,193$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 2,175$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.02 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 2,141$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.2 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.99 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Team Spirit | 74c | 2,076$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.02 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Xtreme Gaming | 26c | 2,006$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.82 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71fa…c7e1backed Xtreme Gaming | 22c | 1,943$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Spirit | 74c | 1,896$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.95 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Team Spirit | 60c | 1,890$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.4 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Team Spirit | 50c | 1,871$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.36 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 1,821$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.36 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Spirit | 55c | 1,817$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.79 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Team Spirit | 51c | 1,800$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 1,772$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Team Spirit | 74c | 1,750$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.99 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 1,749$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 1,743$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.82 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Xtreme Gaming | 13c | 1,692$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Team Spirit | 52c | 1,668$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.68 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Team Spirit | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.1 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c5…b9b6backed Xtreme Gaming | 28c | 1,385$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.24 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02e4…f0aebacked Team Spirit | 67c | 1,300$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.99 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Team Spirit | 63c | 1,293$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.77 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…2d20backed Team Spirit | 55c | 1,271$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.3 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 1,156$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.31 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 1,150$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.49 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 1,132$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.42 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Team Spirit | 54c | 1,011$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.26 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…1ee8backed Team Spirit | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Team Spirit | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Spirit | 41c | 999.99$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.21 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 22c | 949.65$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.76 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed Team Spirit | 71c | 934.08$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.08 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Xtreme Gaming | 21c | 888$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.48 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 885.73$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Team Spirit | 74c | 845$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.7 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd6…96c4backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 825.47$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 824.96$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.48 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Team Spirit | 63c | 804.88$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.07 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52aa…e5dabacked Team Spirit | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…5ad4backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Spirit | 60c | 788.66$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.7 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 785.61$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.78 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 771.73$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 748.6$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.17 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Team Spirit | 54c | 740.41$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.41 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 737.16$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.48 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Spirit | 56c | 729.2$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.95 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 726.33$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.32 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 700.93$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.87 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 700$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.6 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Spirit | 73c | 691.45$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.69 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 669.82$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.11 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 665.99$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.37 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…9aeabacked Xtreme Gaming | 26c | 653.69$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.05 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 645.56$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.19 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Team Spirit | 33c | 598.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.53 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 585.67$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.16 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Team Spirit | 52c | 579.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.98 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 558.68$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.6 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Spirit | 73c | 553.62$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.75 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 549.99$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 548.96$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 540.23$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.69 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8702…6304backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 515.31$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.98 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…efeebacked Xtreme Gaming | 6c | 513.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 41.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.