Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a2f2efff2c2a73cd9534ead22a272a801dff84d240a58c09b20f8f6d8c25632
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Xtreme Gaming, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,073 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked Team Spirit | 47c | 16,798$7,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,949.55 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Spirit | 49c | 8,934$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,533.53 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 10c | 8,806$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.04 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 8,227$4,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,223.83 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 7,515$4,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,179 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Xtreme Gaming | 9c | 7,367$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.33 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 7,070$3,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,817.86 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 5,563$2,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,779.27 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Team Spirit | 49c | 5,215$2,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,634.29 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 4,858$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.1 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Team Spirit | 51c | 4,579$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.02 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Xtreme Gaming | 4c | 3,117$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.16 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 24c | 3,075$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.05 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Spirit | 48c | 2,500$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.75 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 2,416$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.17 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.97 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 1,807$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.64 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Team Spirit | 49c | 1,493$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.63 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 1,400$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Team Spirit | 46c | 1,344$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.91 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 1c | 1,200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -71%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit | 58c | 1,100$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.9 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 930.28$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Xtreme Gaming | 11c | 891.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 825.97$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.15 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb57…6a21backed Xtreme Gaming | 5c | 806.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Spirit | 45c | 800.2$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.05 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Xtreme Gaming | 21c | 778.89$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.86 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x786a…9cd5backed Xtreme Gaming | 18c | 755.52$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.02 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Xtreme Gaming | 28c | 723.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.18 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Team Spirit | 70c | 720$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 666$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 640$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed Team Spirit | 47c | 634.1$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.1 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 632.88$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.62 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 590$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.69 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 546.77$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.26 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b7…d4f5backed Xtreme Gaming | 2c | 514.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 486.66$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 456.25$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.84 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Spirit | 75c | 443.31$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Spirit | 47c | 422.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.92 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 411.27$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.19 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Team Spirit | 50c | 401.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.8 | 149 | 65.8%98 W · 51 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Team Spirit | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd7…ee69backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 365.93$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.76 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 364.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 352.59$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 325$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.4 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 318.61$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.24 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…9aeabacked Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 298.04$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.39 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 270.98$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.04 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Spirit | 53c | 270.48$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.47 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 17c | 238.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Team Spirit | 58c | 235.71$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…33d8backed Team Spirit | 48c | 231.77$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.77 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Spirit | 51c | 227.45$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.45 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96f…b5e5backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 224.41$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.25 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Team Spirit | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Xtreme Gaming | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Xtreme Gaming | 27c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc73…e42fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 13c | 198.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Team Spirit | 80c | 176.83$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 174.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Spirit | 50c | 158.34$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.13 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Team Spirit | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.28 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee06…3054backed Team Spirit | 71c | 146.6$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -5.9wins | -0.42per pick | 71cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Team Spirit | 60c | 139.34$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.09 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team Spirit | 52c | 138.72$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.93 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc2…48a9backed Team Spirit | 71c | 136$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Team Spirit | 54c | 130$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 129.04$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 120.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Xtreme Gaming | 20c | 107.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Team Spirit | 51c | 103.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Team Spirit | 56c | 100.79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.91 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…d83bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…5ad4backed Team Spirit | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ca3backed Xtreme Gaming | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Xtreme Gaming | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…e75fbacked Team Spirit | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 137 | 32.8%45 W · 92 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Team Spirit | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Xtreme Gaming | 12c | 92.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed Team Spirit | 65c | 91.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Xtreme Gaming | 28c | 88.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 88.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked Team Spirit | 48c | 86.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Spirit | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Team Spirit | 69c | 82.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Xtreme Gaming | 13c | 80.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Spirit | 59c | 79.81$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 66.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Team Spirit | 47c | 63.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…32bebacked Team Spirit | 48c | 59.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -11.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 41.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.