Tennis · resolved market
Kigali: Joel Schwaerzler vs Stefano Napolitano
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59a05024c6e3e441a3286f4d7bbc277dc96a97ee290f63f0d368ea952587abc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joel Schwaerzlerof Joel Schwaerzler, Stefano Napolitano
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,070 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Stefano Napolitano | 46c | 10,384$4,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,757.36 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 63c | 8,222$5,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080.82 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ed…cfe3backed Stefano Napolitano | 41c | 7,060$2,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,871.86 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Joel Schwaerzler | 72c | 6,833$4,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.59 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4f…0f33backed Stefano Napolitano | 37c | 6,500$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Stefano Napolitano | 22c | 5,989$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.45 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed Stefano Napolitano | 50c | 5,954$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.58 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 61c | 5,368$3,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Joel Schwaerzler | 63c | 5,360$3,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.78 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Joel Schwaerzler | 55c | 4,398$2,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.92 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Joel Schwaerzler | 77c | 3,944$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.58 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Stefano Napolitano | 34c | 3,592$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.61 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Joel Schwaerzler | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stefano Napolitano | 26c | 2,681$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.74 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Joel Schwaerzler | 70c | 2,582$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.39 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | -27.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Joel Schwaerzler | 50c | 2,347$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.66 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…f9a8backed Stefano Napolitano | 28c | 2,247$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164e…c2a2backed Stefano Napolitano | 30c | 2,214$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.6 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Joel Schwaerzler | 66c | 2,075$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.36 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Joel Schwaerzler | 58c | 2,059$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.85 | 430 | 62.3%268 W · 162 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db1…d726backed Stefano Napolitano | 29c | 1,744$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Stefano Napolitano | 39c | 1,500$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Stefano Napolitano | 27c | 1,323$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.85 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Stefano Napolitano | 28c | 1,296$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.62 | 1,828 | 53.1%971 W · 857 L | -44.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Stefano Napolitano | 37c | 1,276$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.24 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe792…80bcbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 78c | 1,252$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.12 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…93d9backed Joel Schwaerzler | 40c | 1,251$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.38 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Stefano Napolitano | 28c | 1,199$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.53 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Stefano Napolitano | 42c | 1,187$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.6 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Stefano Napolitano | 28c | 1,172$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.51 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Joel Schwaerzler | 64c | 1,100$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.54 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Joel Schwaerzler | 78c | 1,081$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.33 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Stefano Napolitano | 58c | 1,072$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.86 | 147 | 66.7%98 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Stefano Napolitano | 28c | 1,041$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.59 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 76c | 1,003$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.63 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Stefano Napolitano | 30c | 971$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.06 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf54c…e6ccbacked Stefano Napolitano | 19c | 932.9$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Joel Schwaerzler | 72c | 916.75$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.69 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Stefano Napolitano | 25c | 866.06$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.2 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 58c | 795$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.16 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…bfbbbacked Stefano Napolitano | 25c | 782.64$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.66 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…a71cbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Joel Schwaerzler | 65c | 768.74$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.74 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Stefano Napolitano | 27c | 768.04$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.37 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Joel Schwaerzler | 56c | 763.62$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.62 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb9…6da4backed Joel Schwaerzler | 79c | 761.39$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.39 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Joel Schwaerzler | 54c | 753.91$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.91 | 975 | 40.1%391 W · 584 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Stefano Napolitano | 40c | 749.99$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 3,862 | 34.9%1,348 W · 2,514 L | +92.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Joel Schwaerzler | 70c | 691.12$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.34 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Stefano Napolitano | 38c | 659.81$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.36 | 1,965 | 46.4%911 W · 1,054 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Stefano Napolitano | 39c | 628.43$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Stefano Napolitano | 37c | 575.68$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Joel Schwaerzler | 74c | 561.31$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.19 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb3…9dfdbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 61c | 494.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.98 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 63c | 492.94$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.44 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 51c | 490.17$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.17 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Stefano Napolitano | 27c | 477.11$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.18 | 388 | 31.4%122 W · 266 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7e…be0cbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 42c | 470.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.85 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 60c | 469.99$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 639 | 65.9%421 W · 218 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Stefano Napolitano | 38c | 461.07$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.67 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 56c | 456.5$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Stefano Napolitano | 22c | 454.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 450 | 44%198 W · 252 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Joel Schwaerzler | 61c | 445.4$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.42 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Joel Schwaerzler | 59c | 440.62$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.62 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Joel Schwaerzler | 54c | 419$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.25 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Stefano Napolitano | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,128 | 27.9%315 W · 813 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Joel Schwaerzler | 78c | 384.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.89 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…70ffbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 63c | 368.22$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.24 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…1226backed Joel Schwaerzler | 66c | 349.82$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.82 | 78 | 75.6%59 W · 19 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Joel Schwaerzler | 59c | 348.25$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.75 | 651 | 49.2%320 W · 331 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Joel Schwaerzler | 57c | 343.96$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.84 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 78c | 333.33$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | -13.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Stefano Napolitano | 21c | 328.28$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.81 | 756 | 48.7%368 W · 388 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Joel Schwaerzler | 61c | 325.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.38 | 1,836 | 48.4%889 W · 947 L | -32.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Joel Schwaerzler | 78c | 320.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Joel Schwaerzler | 39c | 304.64$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.64 | 360 | 38.9%140 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Stefano Napolitano | 22c | 299.93$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…5c9fbacked Stefano Napolitano | 35c | 298$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.3 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Stefano Napolitano | 41c | 286.98$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.93 | 2,754 | 53.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L | +71.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Stefano Napolitano | 25c | 254.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.82 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Stefano Napolitano | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,056 | 59.5%1,224 W · 832 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Joel Schwaerzler | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Stefano Napolitano | 9c | 236.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 1,377 | 16.3%224 W · 1,153 L | -109.7wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Stefano Napolitano | 29c | 236.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Stefano Napolitano | 25c | 228.58$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 959 | 35.5%340 W · 619 L | -40.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Stefano Napolitano | 45c | 222.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.22 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…1b3fbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 59c | 221.95$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.95 | 275 | 66.5%183 W · 92 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Stefano Napolitano | 27c | 217.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Joel Schwaerzler | 60c | 211.04$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Stefano Napolitano | 37c | 202.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Stefano Napolitano | 24c | 201.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Stefano Napolitano | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…7505backed Stefano Napolitano | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0878…1374backed Stefano Napolitano | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8158…4df5backed Stefano Napolitano | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Stefano Napolitano | 30c | 199.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,332 | 46.6%1,087 W · 1,245 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 56c | 192.24$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.65 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Joel Schwaerzler | 66c | 184.15$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Joel Schwaerzler | 55c | 182.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Joel Schwaerzler | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kigali: Joel Schwaerzler vs Stefano Napolitanothis page
- Set 1 Winner: Schwaerzler vs NapolitanoSchwaerzler won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.