TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Heroicof Team Yandex, Heroic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,666

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,666 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex54c15,024$8,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,10054556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Team Yandex59c10,000$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,9008242.7%35 W · 47 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Heroic41c9,998$4,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,898.561258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Heroic42c7,566$3,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,388.2218452.2%96 W · 88 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Team Yandex58c6,000$3,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4804156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Heroic41c5,000$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,949.9919847%93 W · 105 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Yandex45c4,604$2,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,072.4834544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heroic51c2,752$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.2160542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Heroic42c2,400$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3921566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+29.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf12a…f637backed Heroic40c1,969$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.72445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x506b…3f70backed Team Yandex49c1,847$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.496145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Heroic65c1,674$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.0328748.8%140 W · 147 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Heroic40c1,650$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99081029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Team Yandex60c1,640$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98442650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Heroic37c1,607$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.1213045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Team Yandex35c1,436$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023746.8%111 W · 126 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed Heroic69c1,092$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.715064.7%97 W · 53 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Heroic67c938.98$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.867665.8%50 W · 26 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Team Yandex57c823.21$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.235749.1%28 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Yandex33c777$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.4185851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d40…2230backed Heroic65c734.52$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.521735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Heroic47c701.64$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.5448539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda1c…15f2backed Heroic59c698.36$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.831752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf44…0bbdbacked Team Yandex53c615.48$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.73351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Yandex40c601.65$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.31,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Heroic41c579.38$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic39c543$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.041,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Team Yandex50c524.16$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.417740.7%72 W · 105 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Team Yandex58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29023653%125 W · 111 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Heroic42c498$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.591,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked Team Yandex59c496$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29516440.2%66 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ed…1506backed Team Yandex41c470$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.11233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x742c…acc0backed Team Yandex55c442.25$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.464141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Yandex27c441.95$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.361,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea49…434fbacked Team Yandex37c421.79$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.27157.7%41 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Heroic49c409.61$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.6133041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb845…1d91backed Heroic63c392.08$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Heroic58c371$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.8228544.9%128 W · 157 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Team Yandex59c358.76$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21022945.9%105 W · 124 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d33…7287backed Heroic62c324.39$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.394746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b18…0390backed Heroic67c317.69$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.452259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe81c…a724backed Team Yandex63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004763.8%30 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Heroic41c303$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.7711955.5%66 W · 53 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288c…e30dbacked Team Yandex61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1831553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4145…99ebbacked Team Yandex29c257$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.53475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Team Yandex64c252.36$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.729156%51 W · 40 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic46c243.11$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.292,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Heroic39c235$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.357149.3%35 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked Heroic38c230$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.612350.4%62 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f41…5c9fbacked Team Yandex38c229.89$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.36933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfadf…dda0backed Heroic67c224.03$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0329245.9%134 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Heroic41c221.99$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.9877941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bfc…fd26backed Heroic67c209.99$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.31855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3798…c20ebacked Heroic67c209.78$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.082650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x301d…47e7backed Team Yandex58c205.89$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf2…a469backed Heroic68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6413455.2%74 W · 60 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Team Yandex10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037832.5%123 W · 255 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Team Yandex43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8673743.6%321 W · 416 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb020…92f3backed Heroic65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708554.1%46 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Heroic68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6436054.4%196 W · 164 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ce…6c7fbacked Heroic43c191.86$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Team Yandex59c190$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.325348.6%123 W · 130 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce88…570abacked Heroic43c177.57$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad9…3cb4backed Heroic42c176.19$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.19580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+71.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9741…a09fbacked Heroic43c175$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Heroic55c173.67$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3728650%143 W · 143 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87a3…5857backed Heroic68c170$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.45747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f5a…aca1backed Team Yandex59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004355.8%24 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee0…56bfbacked Team Yandex34c167$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.78450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b97…6c05backed Team Yandex58c163.54$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe5…0a56backed Heroic71c160$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0201…9eeebacked Team Yandex31c158$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Yandex56c149.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.711,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8748…866dbacked Heroic66c148$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+10%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xce63…b7b2backed Heroic68c138$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.16757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad1…c062backed Heroic43c136$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Team Yandex59c132$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6680544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Heroic42c130.95$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9541248.8%201 W · 211 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Team Yandex24c130$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.62924.1%7 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-49%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6998…ae95backed Team Yandex35c129.85$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8516821.4%36 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95c8…3469backed Team Yandex35c128.57$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4521551.6%111 W · 104 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x53fc…76d7backed Heroic70c128$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.42360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f5c…7256backed Heroic69c126$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.06475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Team Yandex58c125.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9971342.5%303 W · 410 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed Heroic42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0587645.7%400 W · 476 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Team Yandex42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505334%18 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd244…40b1backed Heroic41c118$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bfb…cd1cbacked Team Yandex32c109$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.88520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1e7…174fbacked Heroic68c103.38$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.381154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25e5…193bbacked Heroic63c101.66$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Heroic41c100.67$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.47657.9%44 W · 32 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff56…ef9fbacked Heroic62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+26.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8790…5310backed Heroic71c96$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.84757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Team Yandex33c93.11$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7312720.5%26 W · 101 L-22.6wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-62.9%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Heroic69c91.44$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.959350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f8…81eabacked Team Yandex58c87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8de8…2a38backed Team Yandex59c84.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick44cpaid-76.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Heroic70c75.05$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5374549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Heroic69c73.51$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7922954.1%124 W · 105 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Team Yandex34c69.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.41,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.