Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94a4a862b717eedac728890e9b64d6b7a9e3bc834b08746f38ebf2d70825c3bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Team Yandex, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,666 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex | 54c | 15,024$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,100 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Team Yandex | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Heroic | 41c | 9,998$4,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,898.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Heroic | 42c | 7,566$3,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,388.22 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Team Yandex | 58c | 6,000$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Heroic | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,949.99 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Yandex | 45c | 4,604$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.48 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heroic | 51c | 2,752$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.21 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Heroic | 42c | 2,400$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf12a…f637backed Heroic | 40c | 1,969$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.7 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Team Yandex | 49c | 1,847$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.49 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Heroic | 65c | 1,674$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.03 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Heroic | 40c | 1,650$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Yandex | 60c | 1,640$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Heroic | 37c | 1,607$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.12 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Team Yandex | 35c | 1,436$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Heroic | 69c | 1,092$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.7 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Heroic | 67c | 938.98$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.86 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Team Yandex | 57c | 823.21$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.23 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Yandex | 33c | 777$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.41 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d40…2230backed Heroic | 65c | 734.52$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.52 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Heroic | 47c | 701.64$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.54 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda1c…15f2backed Heroic | 59c | 698.36$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.83 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf44…0bbdbacked Team Yandex | 53c | 615.48$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.7 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Yandex | 40c | 601.65$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.3 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Heroic | 41c | 579.38$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic | 39c | 543$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.04 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Team Yandex | 50c | 524.16$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.4 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Team Yandex | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Heroic | 42c | 498$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.59 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Team Yandex | 59c | 496$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ed…1506backed Team Yandex | 41c | 470$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Team Yandex | 55c | 442.25$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.46 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Yandex | 27c | 441.95$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.36 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked Team Yandex | 37c | 421.79$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.2 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Heroic | 49c | 409.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.61 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb845…1d91backed Heroic | 63c | 392.08$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Heroic | 58c | 371$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.82 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Team Yandex | 59c | 358.76$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…7287backed Heroic | 62c | 324.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.39 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b18…0390backed Heroic | 67c | 317.69$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.45 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe81c…a724backed Team Yandex | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Heroic | 41c | 303$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.77 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x288c…e30dbacked Team Yandex | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4145…99ebbacked Team Yandex | 29c | 257$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Team Yandex | 64c | 252.36$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.72 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic | 46c | 243.11$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.29 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Heroic | 39c | 235$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.35 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Heroic | 38c | 230$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.6 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…5c9fbacked Team Yandex | 38c | 229.89$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Heroic | 67c | 224.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.03 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Heroic | 41c | 221.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.98 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfc…fd26backed Heroic | 67c | 209.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…c20ebacked Heroic | 67c | 209.78$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.08 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x301d…47e7backed Team Yandex | 58c | 205.89$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Heroic | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Team Yandex | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Team Yandex | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed Heroic | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Heroic | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ce…6c7fbacked Heroic | 43c | 191.86$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Team Yandex | 59c | 190$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce88…570abacked Heroic | 43c | 177.57$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Heroic | 42c | 176.19$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9741…a09fbacked Heroic | 43c | 175$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Heroic | 55c | 173.67$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.37 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Heroic | 68c | 170$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5a…aca1backed Team Yandex | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee0…56bfbacked Team Yandex | 34c | 167$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…6c05backed Team Yandex | 58c | 163.54$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…0a56backed Heroic | 71c | 160$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0201…9eeebacked Team Yandex | 31c | 158$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Yandex | 56c | 149.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.71 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8748…866dbacked Heroic | 66c | 148$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce63…b7b2backed Heroic | 68c | 138$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…c062backed Heroic | 43c | 136$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Team Yandex | 59c | 132$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.66 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Heroic | 42c | 130.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Team Yandex | 24c | 130$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -49%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Team Yandex | 35c | 129.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed Team Yandex | 35c | 128.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 215 | 51.6%111 W · 104 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…76d7backed Heroic | 70c | 128$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5c…7256backed Heroic | 69c | 126$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Yandex | 58c | 125.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Heroic | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Team Yandex | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…40b1backed Heroic | 41c | 118$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…cd1cbacked Team Yandex | 32c | 109$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e7…174fbacked Heroic | 68c | 103.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e5…193bbacked Heroic | 63c | 101.66$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Heroic | 41c | 100.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff56…ef9fbacked Heroic | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…5310backed Heroic | 71c | 96$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Team Yandex | 33c | 93.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 127 | 20.5%26 W · 101 L | -22.6wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Heroic | 69c | 91.44$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f8…81eabacked Team Yandex | 58c | 87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de8…2a38backed Team Yandex | 59c | 84.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Heroic | 70c | 75.05$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Heroic | 69c | 73.51$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Yandex | 34c | 69.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic - Game 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic - Game 2 WinnerHeroic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.