Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92568a82d26a60ce1b86214bcfcd9fe8fb7b1494a29d886d0f0ed20286e39547
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Team Yandex, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,684 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Heroic | 53c | 13,424$7,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,333.79 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Yandex | 53c | 10,053$5,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,358.23 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Heroic | 61c | 7,329$4,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,851.88 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Team Yandex | 44c | 6,592$2,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,913.32 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Yandex | 53c | 6,578$3,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,481.3 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Team Yandex | 48c | 6,513$3,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,117.81 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heroic | 44c | 5,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,779.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex | 56c | 3,594$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex | 48c | 3,510$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.2 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Heroic | 56c | 3,259$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.9 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked Team Yandex | 51c | 3,222$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.9 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Heroic | 41c | 3,163$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.02 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Yandex | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Heroic | 48c | 2,015$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.8 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Heroic | 65c | 2,008$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.95 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Yandex | 47c | 1,649$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Team Yandex | 57c | 1,394$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.66 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Heroic | 48c | 1,375$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.39 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Heroic | 59c | 1,320$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.11 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Yandex | 50c | 1,222$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.02 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Yandex | 47c | 1,182$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Team Yandex | 49c | 1,143$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.81 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Heroic | 45c | 1,095$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.02 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Heroic | 41c | 1,020$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.73 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Team Yandex | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Heroic | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Heroic | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Team Yandex | 1c | 819.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -71%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Heroic | 48c | 795.54$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.44 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Heroic | 46c | 760.87$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.87 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed Heroic | 47c | 640.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.41 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Team Yandex | 56c | 605.36$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Heroic | 47c | 600.02$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.02 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Heroic | 55c | 588.46$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.01 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…7287backed Heroic | 55c | 547.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.71 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Heroic | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Heroic | 40c | 444$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked Heroic | 57c | 440.05$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.05 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 432.33$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.4 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96f…b5e5backed Team Yandex | 49c | 390.63$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.5 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Team Yandex | 52c | 358.21$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.27 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d3…cdacbacked Team Yandex | 47c | 343.48$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.44 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Team Yandex | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03e…da65backed Heroic | 48c | 316.67$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.67 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Yandex | 49c | 300.88$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.55 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Yandex | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Yandex | 46c | 294.3$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.38 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Heroic | 47c | 294.14$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.97 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Yandex | 38c | 221.54$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.27 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf564…1b4cbacked Heroic | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Yandex | 10c | 206.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea9…42a1backed Heroic | 48c | 200.96$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.87 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Heroic | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Team Yandex | 57c | 199.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Heroic | 53c | 188.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.16 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Heroic | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Heroic | 61c | 163.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.78 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Yandex | 52c | 149.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team Yandex | 55c | 147.27$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Team Yandex | 58c | 140$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 129.51$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.75 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Team Yandex | 56c | 124.8$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.51 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…42b7backed Team Yandex | 55c | 121.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Team Yandex | 49c | 115.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 137 | 33.6%46 W · 91 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Heroic | 48c | 114.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.54 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Heroic | 49c | 109.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f07…c74fbacked Team Yandex | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Heroic | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Heroic | 56c | 89.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heroic | 45c | 88.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…54cebacked Team Yandex | 56c | 82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Team Yandex | 33c | 76.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…33d8backed Heroic | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Team Yandex | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Team Yandex | 56c | 64.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b43…d239backed Team Yandex | 56c | 62.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Heroic | 54c | 60.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c01…0436backed Heroic | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Heroic | 72c | 59.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Heroic | 50c | 59.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Team Yandex | 51c | 58.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf883…b8b4backed Heroic | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 187 | 64.7%121 W · 66 L | +17.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Heroic | 46c | 57.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed Heroic | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Yandex | 44c | 55.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…d60dbacked Heroic | 49c | 55.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fad…66b1backed Team Yandex | 56c | 53.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Team Yandex | 22c | 51.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Heroic | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…a721backed Team Yandex | 56c | 43.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Team Yandex | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed Heroic | 54c | 43.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Team Yandex | 50c | 42.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Yandex | 43c | 41.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4287…3d5ebacked Team Yandex | 48c | 40.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf525…559dbacked Team Yandex | 49c | 39.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…8506backed Team Yandex | 56c | 39.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x458d…8a59backed Team Yandex | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb68…c695backed Heroic | 48c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2042…1c4fbacked Heroic | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageHeroic won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic - Game 1 WinnerHeroic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.