TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x288c…e30d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.23
Raptors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$52.65
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$58.5
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$79.65
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30.3
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.53
76ers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$45
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$193.5
Raptors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+47.1%+$80.32
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$153.35
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+100%+$51.51
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$72.11
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$41.2
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$26.78
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$35.03
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$43.26
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$59.75
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+108.3%+$53.56
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+69.5%+$42.24
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$37.08
All 20 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.49
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$38.65
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$61.8
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.5
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.41
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38.38
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$61.61
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.71
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$183
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$64.9
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+138.4%+$59.69
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+159%+$202.1
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+102.5%+$202.46
Dota 2: MOUZ vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$312.84
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+81%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$39.49
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+170.3%+$315
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$27.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+31.2%+$47.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.