Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17186207664b2dd242cd014bc51f17aaef74e73d11f48437bef727f9d547877b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof MOUZ, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $183,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed OG | 50c | 28,000$13,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,044.74 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked MOUZ | 50c | 9,891$4,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,970.49 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +11.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 51c | 9,592$4,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,845.93 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked OG | 48c | 8,600$4,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,490.19 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed OG | 47c | 7,758$3,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,114.88 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked MOUZ | 53c | 7,326$3,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,880.63 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…7255backed OG | 57c | 7,318$4,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,147.77 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked MOUZ | 52c | 5,878$3,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,063.47 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 50c | 4,512$2,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.36 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 43c | 4,340$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.86 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 48c | 4,310$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.67 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked MOUZ | 9c | 3,038$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.14 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed MOUZ | 49c | 2,878$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.5 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed MOUZ | 43c | 2,434$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.1 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed OG | 45c | 2,203$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.97 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed MOUZ | 52c | 2,140$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.24 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…901cbacked OG | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed OG | 48c | 1,730$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.9 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ | 42c | 1,584$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.67 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…5e99backed OG | 49c | 1,437$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.43 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…d0a9backed MOUZ | 48c | 1,409$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ | 50c | 1,383$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.64 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked MOUZ | 53c | 1,075$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.75 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked MOUZ | 52c | 1,075$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed OG | 45c | 936.96$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.96 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed MOUZ | 45c | 884.26$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed MOUZ | 51c | 830.19$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.5 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed OG | 61c | 818.7$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.7 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed MOUZ | 54c | 752.34$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.46 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed OG | 58c | 749.98$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed MOUZ | 50c | 670$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed OG | 48c | 658.33$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.37 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked OG | 60c | 635.68$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.69 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288c…e30dbacked MOUZ | 52c | 605$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.84 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa340…409bbacked MOUZ | 34c | 597.53$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.86 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed MOUZ | 18c | 500$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed OG | 50c | 500$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.37 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed MOUZ | 42c | 484.59$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.04 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…a86bbacked OG | 46c | 476.32$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.18 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed OG | 47c | 444.75$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.86 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked MOUZ | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed MOUZ | 52c | 383.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed MOUZ | 53c | 346.03$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.68 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed OG | 48c | 340.11$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.38 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed OG | 60c | 338.92$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.21 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ad…1ab8backed MOUZ | 52c | 331.26$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed MOUZ | 53c | 329.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.84 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…3365backed MOUZ | 51c | 328.32$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed OG | 54c | 309$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.83 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed OG | 49c | 304.08$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.08 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked MOUZ | 52c | 292.89$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.97 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed OG | 45c | 270$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.8 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed MOUZ | 41c | 267.9$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.18 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed MOUZ | 43c | 261.24$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.1 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aed…eb43backed OG | 53c | 250.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ | 46c | 250$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.8 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed MOUZ | 31c | 243.59$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.31 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…745fbacked OG | 60c | 234.16$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed MOUZ | 13c | 224.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked MOUZ | 19c | 213$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed OG | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed OG | 46c | 212.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed OG | 50c | 210.1$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.35 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed OG | 53c | 208.11$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.17 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked OG | 76c | 200.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…c33cbacked MOUZ | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…3432backed MOUZ | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa420…35bbbacked MOUZ | 22c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a7…4293backed OG | 48c | 198$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.94 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed MOUZ | 33c | 190$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…5fd9backed MOUZ | 55c | 189.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked MOUZ | 55c | 188.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.94 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed MOUZ | 35c | 179.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.31 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed MOUZ | 38c | 169$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed OG | 48c | 160.15$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed OG | 48c | 158.29$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked MOUZ | 54c | 147.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed MOUZ | 52c | 146.6$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 30c | 138.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed MOUZ | 53c | 132$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked MOUZ | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed MOUZ | 40c | 116.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…6c06backed MOUZ | 40c | 112.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed OG | 54c | 106.53$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…b6cbbacked OG | 47c | 106$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked OG | 52c | 105.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked MOUZ | 54c | 105.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…3fa6backed MOUZ | 58c | 104.74$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031e…276dbacked MOUZ | 52c | 102$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked MOUZ | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed MOUZ | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed MOUZ | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 49c | 96.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…3f58backed MOUZ | 58c | 96.06$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked OG | 47c | 95.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked MOUZ | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…f102backed MOUZ | 51c | 87.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +61%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed MOUZ | 31c | 81.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 138 | 27.5%38 W · 100 L | -15.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed OG | 48c | 77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x275f…39d9backed MOUZ | 15c | 75.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.