Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UCF Knights vs. West Virginia Mountaineers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11487682fa9e195f2aa3ed2a4f6b630f96e4d5c74687f45709ef610c95ebdf18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- West Virginia Mountaineersof UCF Knights, West Virginia Mountaineers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,355 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UCF Knights | 37c | 4,444$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.5 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 67c | 4,056$2,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.67 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 62c | 3,272$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.05 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked UCF Knights | 37c | 2,900$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.98 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 64c | 2,203$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.8 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UCF Knights | 5c | 2,114$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 63c | 2,083$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.65 | 269 | 45.7%123 W · 146 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UCF Knights | 38c | 1,204$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.47 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed UCF Knights | 38c | 914.85$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.64 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UCF Knights | 10c | 783.86$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.57 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 79c | 745.92$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.49 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UCF Knights | 17c | 671.25$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.39 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed UCF Knights | 24c | 571.71$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.54 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked UCF Knights | 36c | 481.01$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.26 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 62c | 478.03$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.68 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 63c | 476.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.18 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed UCF Knights | 5c | 446.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked UCF Knights | 27c | 441.93$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.32 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UCF Knights | 21c | 436$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.97 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed UCF Knights | 33c | 416.11$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.73 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed UCF Knights | 24c | 363.76$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.07 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed UCF Knights | 15c | 307.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed UCF Knights | 37c | 297.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.09 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked UCF Knights | 37c | 268.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 61c | 243.85$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.1 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 70c | 239.69$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.82 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed UCF Knights | 37c | 233.33$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.15 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed UCF Knights | 42c | 212.46$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.23 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb073…9e8dbacked UCF Knights | 10c | 206.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 61c | 201.62$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.75 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked UCF Knights | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UCF Knights | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb5…c2adbacked UCF Knights | 38c | 181.59$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 70c | 171.83$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 62c | 166.3$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked UCF Knights | 23c | 162.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 61c | 162.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed UCF Knights | 38c | 157.89$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed UCF Knights | 14c | 154.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed UCF Knights | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked UCF Knights | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed UCF Knights | 37c | 148.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed UCF Knights | 37c | 134.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed UCF Knights | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 61c | 128.1$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed UCF Knights | 37c | 117.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 68c | 115.11$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 63c | 114.27$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ec…c21ebacked UCF Knights | 39c | 99.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…7bfebacked UCF Knights | 23c | 91.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed UCF Knights | 22c | 84.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed UCF Knights | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UCF Knights | 14c | 72.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked UCF Knights | 37c | 67.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 61c | 50.53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed UCF Knights | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…a7b8backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 63c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 64c | 49.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed UCF Knights | 32c | 49.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked UCF Knights | 40c | 42.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e06…3793backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 61c | 40.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked UCF Knights | 38c | 39.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ef10backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 79c | 37.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed UCF Knights | 37c | 35.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed UCF Knights | 34c | 34.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…fb49backed UCF Knights | 42c | 32.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…21e7backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 62c | 31.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked UCF Knights | 40c | 31.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…2ea6backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12bb…cee9backed UCF Knights | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 63c | 24.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UCF Knights vs. West Virginia Mountaineersthis page
- Spread: West Virginia Mountaineers (-3.5)West Virginia Mountaineers won
- UCF Knights vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 139.5Under won
- UCF Knights vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 141.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.