Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: West Virginia Mountaineers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0af27777bf7b26a2996435a54b1b7a3abc91d92b38d9ab47696879811d0bb815
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- West Virginia Mountaineersof West Virginia Mountaineers, UCF Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,213 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 53c | 34,486$18,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,107.35 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed UCF Knights | 48c | 18,820$9,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,033.73 | 177 | 42.9%76 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UCF Knights | 46c | 10,280$4,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,693.05 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed UCF Knights | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.8 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 51c | 2,987$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.71 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 52c | 2,565$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.05 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked UCF Knights | 45c | 1,751$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.11 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked UCF Knights | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed UCF Knights | 50c | 995.6$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.8 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UCF Knights | 37c | 985.83$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.8 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed UCF Knights | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed UCF Knights | 50c | 436.15$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.08 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed UCF Knights | 48c | 349.58$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.75 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 52c | 343.13$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.7 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 53c | 322$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.34 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed UCF Knights | 49c | 222.53$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed UCF Knights | 54c | 183.58$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 51c | 148.69$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed UCF Knights | 45c | 105.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c5…4d7abacked UCF Knights | 47c | 105.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed UCF Knights | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed UCF Knights | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked UCF Knights | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed UCF Knights | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed UCF Knights | 46c | 90.73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed UCF Knights | 49c | 88.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 52c | 85.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 55c | 83.72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f34…94d0backed UCF Knights | 50c | 79.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked UCF Knights | 45c | 73.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 53c | 67.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x353e…9db2backed UCF Knights | 49c | 50.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed UCF Knights | 45c | 49.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c33…d620backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 55c | 45.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcd…74c6backed UCF Knights | 41c | 41.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked UCF Knights | 48c | 41.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed UCF Knights | 49c | 41.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 68c | 40.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa330…9d33backed UCF Knights | 49c | 40.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed UCF Knights | 37c | 31.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 64c | 27.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked UCF Knights | 45c | 26.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 50c | 24.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b1…0666backed UCF Knights | 49c | 24.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UCF Knights | 44c | 23.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked UCF Knights | 49c | 21.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 65c | 21.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: West Virginia Mountaineers (-3.5)this page
- UCF Knights vs. West Virginia MountaineersWest Virginia Mountaineers won
- UCF Knights vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 139.5Under won
- UCF Knights vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 141.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.