CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dcf47c67bf6938eef43212ad30232b1fdaed2b4da05f346b0d20a65e9ba6283
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 9zof 9z, Fake do Biru
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,594 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Fake do Biru | 16c | 3,547$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.62 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Fake do Biru | 16c | 1,597$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.43 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Fake do Biru | 11c | 740.17$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.42 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Fake do Biru | 17c | 635.67$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.16 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked 9z | 67c | 515.62$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.62 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fake do Biru | 16c | 316.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Fake do Biru | 36c | 230$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fake do Biru | 45c | 167.44$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.83 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Fake do Biru | 16c | 156.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ca33backed Fake do Biru | 18c | 141.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 9z | 78c | 127.27$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fake do Biru | 29c | 114.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Fake do Biru | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Fake do Biru | 17c | 100.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ec…c21ebacked Fake do Biru | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Fake do Biru | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe516…14ffbacked Fake do Biru | 35c | 99.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Fake do Biru | 22c | 90.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad4…83b8backed Fake do Biru | 18c | 67.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Fake do Biru | 20c | 65.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Fake do Biru | 31c | 62.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81c…0a81backed Fake do Biru | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfda5…53d7backed Fake do Biru | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed 9z | 59c | 45.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed 9z | 30c | 45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed 9z | 60c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…d8cebacked Fake do Biru | 48c | 34.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…a304backed 9z | 59c | 33.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 122 | 73.8%90 W · 32 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…7409backed 9z | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked 9z | 80c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs Fake do Biru - Map 1 WinnerFake do Biru won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.