TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Southern Jaguars vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Southern Jaguarsof Southern Jaguars, Alabama A&M Bulldogs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,076

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,076 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs55c3,153$1,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,734.1537441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Southern Jaguars45c3,066$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,675.461,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs49c2,069$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.223,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Southern Jaguars67c1,866$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.891,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs50c1,675$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.322,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Southern Jaguars49c1,327$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.0315453.9%83 W · 71 L+16.8wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021549.3%106 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs36c902.47$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.072,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Southern Jaguars49c645.46$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.1929845.3%135 W · 163 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Southern Jaguars50c616.73$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.374,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs17c534.78$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5861446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs51c485.59$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.141,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20838345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Southern Jaguars50c392.8$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs50c364.7$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.771,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Southern Jaguars51c291.55$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.861,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Southern Jaguars47c202.73$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.8432751.7%169 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Southern Jaguars49c199.92$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.562,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs48c198.25$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1638837.6%146 W · 242 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Southern Jaguars51c198.25$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1412147.9%58 W · 63 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Southern Jaguars50c198.25$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.131,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf72…b4a6backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs50c198.05$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.479470.2%66 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Southern Jaguars51c194.36$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.2483350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Southern Jaguars52c190.63$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.522640.7%92 W · 134 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs36c187.31$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.887047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs24c161.68$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7325337.5%95 W · 158 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Southern Jaguars48c158.15$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2413141.2%54 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs8c149.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.394,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Southern Jaguars49c147$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9750745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs16c139$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.163,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Southern Jaguars50c127.14$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.571,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6021937.4%82 W · 137 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb02…0f88backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs52c118.95$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.868641.9%36 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs46c108.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2893247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs38c107.61$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.741,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Southern Jaguars50c107.06$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5320834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2114…69a1backed Southern Jaguars49c100.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.96757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Southern Jaguars50c100.01$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5049157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00ec…c21ebacked Southern Jaguars51c99.51$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.763243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs51c99.13$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.556357.1%36 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d6f…5439backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs52c95.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.56742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Southern Jaguars50c89.21$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6125837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Southern Jaguars50c83.26$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7221850.5%110 W · 108 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Southern Jaguars50c69.39$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6958652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Southern Jaguars50c56.59$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.392246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Southern Jaguars50c53.53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7617945.8%82 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs31c51.84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.971,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x6fc0…8f18backed Southern Jaguars50c50.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2811840.7%48 W · 70 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Southern Jaguars50c49.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7816746.1%77 W · 90 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs52c41.63$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6523754.4%129 W · 108 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7789…d6c0backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs49c40.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.839353.8%50 W · 43 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ce7…7cfabacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs51c40.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.424757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Southern Jaguars68c37.38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1216243.8%71 W · 91 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Southern Jaguars51c33.7$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5122950.7%116 W · 113 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf58…711fbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs50c30.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.486253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Southern Jaguars50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1530050.7%152 W · 148 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Southern Jaguars50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1532850%164 W · 164 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs50c29.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8713447%63 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Southern Jaguars55c27.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1729954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Southern Jaguars49c25.77$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1475447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Southern Jaguars50c25.16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5881528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs50c21.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.926550.6%134 W · 131 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Southern Jaguars64c21.39$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.752353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs51c19.93$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.143053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs51c19.61$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Southern Jaguars53c18.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8733058.2%192 W · 138 L+24.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed Southern Jaguars69c16.16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9418557.8%107 W · 78 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.