TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

First Round Pool A: Canada vs. Colombia

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canadaof Canada, Colombia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,397

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,397 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfbf3…b218backed Colombia31c62,427$19,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,318.2470%0 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Canada69c45,643$31,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,178.612231.8%7 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-39.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Colombia31c13,058$4,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,047.0730%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Canada69c12,000$8,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,719.991752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Canada68c10,963$7,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,473.2520548.3%99 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Canada70c7,970$5,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,411.881030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Canada63c5,542$3,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,024.555442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Canada69c3,989$2,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.5661947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Colombia0c3,774$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.123929.4%37 W · 355 L+1.5wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Colombia30c3,374$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.4184049.4%415 W · 425 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18d…9863backed Colombia7c3,131$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.16128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick20cpaid-64.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Colombia30c2,981$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.371,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Colombia12c2,588$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.941,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Colombia23c1,517$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34211331.9%36 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Colombia31c1,450$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.51338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Canada71c1,253$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.742,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Colombia8c1,167$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.383250%16 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+59%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Colombia10c1,104$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.226,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed Canada70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003060%18 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe155…6f55backed Colombia41c961.54$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Colombia3c929$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.07336.1%2 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+66.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Colombia36c900.7$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.365251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Colombia23c900$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20736729.4%108 W · 259 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be1…aa70backed Canada78c858.42$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.836653%35 W · 31 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Colombia35c849.15$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.821,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Colombia36c806.94$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.941,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed Colombia37c687.45$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7906…1432backed Canada63c551.14$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.771172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick72cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Colombia31c525.48$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.93,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad6c…d41abacked Canada61c516.21$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.21475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Colombia28c496.22$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.037128.2%20 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d5b…6c2abacked Colombia41c477$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Colombia23c444.96$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4414251.4%73 W · 69 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Colombia18c440.92$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1196133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Canada70c430$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.61346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Colombia11c416.74$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.011,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Colombia28c410.92$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11718048.3%87 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Colombia10c375.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.511,14948.9%562 W · 587 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Canada66c372.31$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.5930242.4%128 W · 174 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Colombia20c354.65$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Colombia14c354.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x050d…2f13backed Canada71c339.34$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Colombia38c334.83$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.248948.3%43 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…dd9fbacked Colombia31c318.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9162…162cbacked Canada72c305.56$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.562060%12 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd45…c05ebacked Colombia32c298.18$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.011275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+62.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Colombia40c296$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Colombia32c290.86$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3755541.4%230 W · 325 L-26.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed Colombia30c289.2$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.76922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-68%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Canada70c289.12$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.412761.4%78 W · 49 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaaa1…176bbacked Colombia35c288.19$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.91837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbb…3f66backed Canada70c284.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.621070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Canada71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6937857.4%217 W · 161 L+1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e56…55bbbacked Colombia36c280$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.81030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-46.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Colombia36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Colombia8c276.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.092722.2%6 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+85.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e05…1b97backed Canada71c276.06$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.062166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+83.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9450…d9e6backed Colombia39c251.71$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.131850%9 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Canada58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Colombia38c244.74$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4e9…44d0backed Colombia41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x686e…3415backed Colombia11c240.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5660%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…c7b2backed Colombia36c226$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Colombia29c217.7$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7211547%54 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Colombia33c201.54$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1846547.1%219 W · 246 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0231…f72bbacked Colombia30c180$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-68%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Canada69c160$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.63464.7%22 W · 12 L+5.3wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+31%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Colombia38c157.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3349450%247 W · 247 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…61fcbacked Canada70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Colombia29c147.45$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.398336.1%30 W · 53 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Canada80c147$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9147745.7%218 W · 259 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Canada71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8546557.2%266 W · 199 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Colombia10c138$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.83246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Colombia18c135$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.689241.3%38 W · 54 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa95c…1b63backed Colombia40c126.15$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.64850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Canada71c124.68$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1625854.3%140 W · 118 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a38…ada9backed Canada69c119.99$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.21330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-56.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Canada69c119.9$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…1a20backed Colombia39c117.97$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1be0…dc27backed Canada70c100.33$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.11172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Colombia28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1465651.2%336 W · 320 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c77…402cbacked Canada80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+35.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5000…02a3backed Colombia14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1480%0 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00ec…c21ebacked Colombia31c94.81$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b4b…8b6fbacked Canada70c91$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.33033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Colombia35c90$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.32524%6 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Colombia17c89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7810353.4%55 W · 48 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcabc…46f4backed Canada71c84.93$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.931376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d5e…b7e4backed Colombia31c75.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.261637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba0…a6afbacked Canada69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Canada69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.465928.8%17 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-39.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Colombia29c72.01$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.122123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Canada71c70.77$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.775046%23 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bfb…070ebacked Canada71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x588e…bd98backed Colombia29c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-67.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Colombia17c68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.855944.1%26 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Colombia18c66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.617753.2%41 W · 36 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Canada60c59.8$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249751.5%50 W · 47 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff73…35ccbacked Colombia24c54.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.14560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Canada75c51.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2369447.6%330 W · 364 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.