CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ex-KRÜ Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1e9918092f8bc420d56b128c6153519002da9b81c6a125aca49f94ec4abf698
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof Keyd, ex-KRÜ Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,296 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Keyd | 68c | 2,119$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.93 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 15c | 1,679$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.88 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 32c | 1,054$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.25 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Keyd | 63c | 599.99$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…bbb3backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 49c | 518.42$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.25 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Keyd | 49c | 500.89$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.45 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Keyd | 68c | 494.34$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.58 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 9c | 450.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 32c | 425.25$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.08 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Keyd | 69c | 390.98$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.04 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 22c | 373.69$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 31c | 350.53$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 37c | 290.12$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 41c | 288.58$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.49 | 284 | 34.9%99 W · 185 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Keyd | 68c | 254.93$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.86 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Keyd | 62c | 233$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.54 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 36c | 232$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 22c | 219.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 26c | 213.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 168 | 29.2%49 W · 119 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 30c | 209.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 35c | 206.03$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Keyd | 69c | 205$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.87 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e6…5cb1backed Keyd | 45c | 199.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 42c | 194.62$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.86 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Keyd | 65c | 174.34$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Keyd | 57c | 155$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 59c | 142.01$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 30c | 137.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…6763backed Keyd | 49c | 133.66$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.66 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 51c | 128$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 19c | 126.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 31c | 119$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Keyd | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Keyd | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 10c | 103.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 52c | 85.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 36c | 79.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 15c | 76.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Keyd | 53c | 71.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 47c | 70.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Keyd | 63c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 31c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 25c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00ec…c21ebacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71fc…426dbacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 31c | 58.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x893a…37debacked Keyd | 64c | 55.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 28c | 53.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 35c | 51.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Keyd | 48c | 50.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 42c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3021…5133backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 49c | 47.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Keyd | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Keyd | 55c | 38.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 55c | 36.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f4…ba36backed Keyd | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c0…8b96backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 39c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…fa45backed Keyd | 70c | 27.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Keyd | 63c | 23.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ex-KRÜ Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ex-KRÜ Esports - Map 2 WinnerKeyd won
- Map Handicap: Keyd (-1.5) vs ex-KRÜ Esports (+1.5)Keyd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.