TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Columbia Lions vs. Harvard Crimson

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Harvard Crimsonof Columbia Lions, Harvard Crimson
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,596

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,596 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Columbia Lions37c3,333$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.22,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Harvard Crimson63c3,325$2,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.0884147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Columbia Lions28c2,598$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.225,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Harvard Crimson63c2,276$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.113,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Harvard Crimson64c2,252$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.2489850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Columbia Lions32c1,706$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.751,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Columbia Lions39c1,197$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.7726945.7%123 W · 146 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Harvard Crimson61c1,087$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.592,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Harvard Crimson63c1,064$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.7812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Columbia Lions37c844.84$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.591,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Harvard Crimson62c796.98$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.332,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Columbia Lions35c770.64$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.0762140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3d…3ec1backed Columbia Lions32c613.2$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.495925.4%15 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Columbia Lions37c605.14$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.684,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Harvard Crimson64c590.19$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.3537947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Columbia Lions7c454.52$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4593447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Harvard Crimson65c443.44$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.274152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90d9…56c4backed Harvard Crimson65c396.82$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.894100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Columbia Lions38c391.48$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.761,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Harvard Crimson62c362.03$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.852,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Columbia Lions18c348.46$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4625829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b54…d382backed Columbia Lions36c344.42$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.997655.3%42 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Columbia Lions38c339.28$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.9379448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Columbia Lions38c325.31$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0925837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Harvard Crimson65c305.24$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8345351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Harvard Crimson62c283.55$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.754548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Columbia Lions43c283.17$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.074,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Columbia Lions37c268.07$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1823331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e86…db9dbacked Columbia Lions37c268.01$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.16650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Columbia Lions38c260.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1883350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Harvard Crimson57c244.88$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.213,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Harvard Crimson73c243.61$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7777142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Columbia Lions27c219.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.771,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Columbia Lions43c201.42$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6142934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Columbia Lions36c199.98$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.992,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Columbia Lions36c199.51$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.821,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Columbia Lions36c199.17$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.411,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eb5…c2adbacked Columbia Lions35c197.14$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699352.7%49 W · 44 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Columbia Lions37c187.46$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3650548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Columbia Lions36c177.25$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.811,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Harvard Crimson63c155.62$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5874649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ad9…3cb4backed Harvard Crimson65c151.09$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.885052%26 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Columbia Lions30c130.39$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2594036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Harvard Crimson79c125.85$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4364658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Harvard Crimson65c125.07$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.75,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Harvard Crimson80c124.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8640252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Harvard Crimson59c123.07$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.851,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Harvard Crimson63c119.2$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9218548.6%90 W · 95 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Harvard Crimson63c118.79$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9534746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2344…3dbebacked Harvard Crimson64c108.49$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.062755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda60…595cbacked Columbia Lions37c108.06$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.987045.7%32 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Harvard Crimson65c106.83$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3912655.6%70 W · 56 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Columbia Lions36c106.14$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2150745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ec…c21ebacked Harvard Crimson65c99.2$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.723243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad13…d3abbacked Columbia Lions36c99.19$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7120234.2%69 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Harvard Crimson77c96.35$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8116243.8%71 W · 91 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7941…7bfebacked Columbia Lions38c91.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.93132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Harvard Crimson61c89.05$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.743,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Columbia Lions38c84.34$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.111,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead8…ce1abacked Harvard Crimson60c82.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.052458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed Columbia Lions24c80$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.29845.9%45 W · 53 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Harvard Crimson64c77.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.933855%186 W · 152 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Columbia Lions26c62.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.611,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Columbia Lions29c55.21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0127055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Columbia Lions37c54.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2282846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Columbia Lions37c50.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7281528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6483…750abacked Columbia Lions38c49.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.848834.1%30 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Harvard Crimson62c47.21$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9449157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Columbia Lions33c46.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4393941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Columbia Lions35c40.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1522544.9%101 W · 124 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Harvard Crimson62c40.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1816255.6%90 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45b0…ceebbacked Harvard Crimson64c40.28$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.51442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+44.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fc0…8f18backed Columbia Lions38c35.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.411840.7%48 W · 70 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Columbia Lions38c35.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5761244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Harvard Crimson74c31.81$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3161446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed Columbia Lions38c31.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9618230.8%56 W · 126 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf6…2971backed Harvard Crimson64c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.163951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dcd…74c6backed Harvard Crimson58c26.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.971838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Harvard Crimson63c24.11$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9216755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2a2…23a0backed Harvard Crimson64c20.46$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.378744.8%39 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Harvard Crimson65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714461.8%89 W · 55 L+0.7wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Harvard Crimson63c19.84$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3444955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbb…727fbacked Harvard Crimson64c17.86$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.434250%21 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x178c…1798backed Harvard Crimson65c16.42$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.