TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Cornell Big Red vs. Dartmouth Big Green

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cornell Big Redof Cornell Big Red, Dartmouth Big Green
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,039

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,039 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Cornell Big Red76c3,111$2,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.0826945.7%123 W · 146 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Dartmouth Big Green34c2,655$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.874649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cornell Big Red66c2,365$1,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.482,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Dartmouth Big Green23c1,754$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.573,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cornell Big Red74c1,673$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.775,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Dartmouth Big Green23c1,463$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.742,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Cornell Big Red67c1,002$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.861,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Dartmouth Big Green33c999.96$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.9921549.3%106 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Dartmouth Big Green34c992.15$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.336342.9%27 W · 36 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Dartmouth Big Green33c957.35$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.3555532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cornell Big Red66c687$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.582,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Dartmouth Big Green11c502.74$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0518548.6%90 W · 95 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cornell Big Red66c502.59$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.8812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Dartmouth Big Green34c396.86$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.931,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked Cornell Big Red67c339.08$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.894454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Cornell Big Red67c335.13$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.5992246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Cornell Big Red66c299.6$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3349157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Dartmouth Big Green27c265.36$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6562140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Dartmouth Big Green20c258.53$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.61,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Cornell Big Red66c243.7$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.251,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Cornell Big Red67c222.15$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.311,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Dartmouth Big Green28c213.69$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.751,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Dartmouth Big Green35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Dartmouth Big Green23c199.23$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4261446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Dartmouth Big Green27c198.62$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6342934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Dartmouth Big Green35c198.44$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8677142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Dartmouth Big Green20c178.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.81,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Cornell Big Red69c158.74$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8170349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Dartmouth Big Green23c149.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8539742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Cornell Big Red67c148.1$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8783350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12c3…b054backed Dartmouth Big Green34c145.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6113565.9%89 W · 46 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Cornell Big Red66c144$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9691848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Dartmouth Big Green35c141.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.612642.1%53 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Cornell Big Red67c136.25$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8693247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Cornell Big Red65c97.22$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.837947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Cornell Big Red67c95.79$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6122950.7%116 W · 113 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Dartmouth Big Green20c90.04$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0116255.6%90 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Dartmouth Big Green27c66.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8894036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Dartmouth Big Green34c60.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4434746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b98…e295backed Cornell Big Red68c56.92$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.212245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd12…a7b8backed Cornell Big Red66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1718644.6%83 W · 103 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Cornell Big Red71c49.98$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.643053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00ec…c21ebacked Dartmouth Big Green35c48.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.983243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Dartmouth Big Green34c40.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6729337.2%109 W · 184 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Dartmouth Big Green41c36.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.273,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd934…a590backed Cornell Big Red66c36.71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.481172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick44cpaid+64.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Dartmouth Big Green35c35.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.371,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x4c7e…b137backed Dartmouth Big Green33c30.76$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.155547.3%26 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Cornell Big Red66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.233445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Dartmouth Big Green42c25.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.756459.4%38 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Cornell Big Red65c22.82$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9948551.1%248 W · 237 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cornell Big Red60c22.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0993447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Cornell Big Red64c16.43$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.936160.7%37 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.