Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Mercyhurst Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73df3f6ccbeb8dfcbec96fdb05843e3418a3b4be2185071bd354bfbc0db6456f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mercyhurst Lakersof Stonehill Skyhawks, Mercyhurst Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,916 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 9c | 4,240$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.7 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 33c | 2,698$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.81 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 31c | 1,828$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.86 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 69c | 1,548$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.4 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 69c | 1,519$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.48 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 31c | 1,353$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.76 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 66c | 1,281$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.28 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 69c | 906.65$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.96 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 32c | 867.32$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.54 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 69c | 631.24$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.68 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 67c | 623.84$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.95 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 69c | 565.38$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.24 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 36c | 413.31$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.79 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 77c | 383.98$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.71 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdab9…f22abacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 32c | 372.14$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39b8…5072backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 70c | 370.89$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 30c | 299.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 34c | 299.47$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.82 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 5c | 297.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 26c | 277.9$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.32 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 37c | 270.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 71c | 253.68$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.63 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 11c | 236.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 66c | 224.21$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.98 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 19c | 198.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 69c | 186.35$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 79c | 183.48$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 35c | 166.28$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 32c | 149.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 37c | 134.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 73c | 121.39$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 31c | 119.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…bf4abacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 68c | 106$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 35c | 99.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…a7b8backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 65c | 99.19$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ec…c21ebacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 36c | 74.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 67c | 74.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 135 | 65.9%89 W · 46 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 67c | 74.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 36c | 73.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 20c | 73.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 33c | 68.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e295backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 69c | 63.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 72c | 62.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 30c | 61.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…d9e6backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 32c | 60.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 29c | 59.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 269 | 45.7%123 W · 146 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 33c | 53.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 32c | 52.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 32c | 49.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 64c | 49.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 67c | 46.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 32c | 45.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 33c | 45.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 76c | 40.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 67c | 37.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc6…7affbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 32c | 33.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 34c | 30.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 64c | 20.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 72c | 20.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 64c | 17.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Mercyhurst Lakersthis page
- Spread: Mercyhurst Lakers (-4.5)Mercyhurst Lakers won
- Spread: Mercyhurst Lakers (-5.5)Stonehill Skyhawks won
- Spread: Mercyhurst Lakers (-6.5)Stonehill Skyhawks won
- Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 131.5Under won
- Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 132.5Under won
- Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 134.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.