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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Stanford Cardinal vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Stanford Cardinalof Stanford Cardinal, Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,085

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,085 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbe7f…bd3ebacked Stanford Cardinal51c25,138$12,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,316.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff2d…4c41backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish49c24,920$12,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,210.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Stanford Cardinal72c2,223$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.643,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish27c2,018$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.751,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Stanford Cardinal69c1,716$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.252,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish15c1,693$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.8281528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Stanford Cardinal52c1,288$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.231258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish17c1,226$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.0655840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021549.3%106 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish20c959.67$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.284,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish16c920.3$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.064,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish37c859.32$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.115,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Stanford Cardinal50c845.28$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.641,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish49c513.41$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.3877142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish48c455.32$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.152,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish49c404.43$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.1778052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish25c394.61$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.342722.2%6 W · 21 L-6.0wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-45.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Stanford Cardinal76c373.05$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.283,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Stanford Cardinal50c372.7$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1861,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish49c343.9$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.5179448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish26c330.57$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.741,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Stanford Cardinal72c270.97$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.425,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed Stanford Cardinal53c260.28$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.6216436%59 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish7c256.06$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5519522.1%43 W · 152 L-36.3wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-53.7%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish17c223.89$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0793447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish49c200.75$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.132564%16 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ef1…c205backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8050%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Stanford Cardinal49c199.53$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.761,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish18c198.97$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4742934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish50c198.25$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.472,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Stanford Cardinal51c182.73$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.391,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish32c166.96$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5994036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Stanford Cardinal51c164.47$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5949157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7baf…4acabacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish48c163.63$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.31637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc90d…e7d6backed Stanford Cardinal52c151.52$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.221662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Stanford Cardinal50c139.65$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish52c133.44$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3912655.6%70 W · 56 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe96b…eb54backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish28c128.94$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.741323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish47c125.59$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.032,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde60…1bcfbacked Stanford Cardinal59c103.39$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.91757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad13…d3abbacked Stanford Cardinal50c102.1$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5520234.2%69 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4e…2ec7backed Stanford Cardinal48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish21c98.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.430945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Stanford Cardinal49c91.94$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8916755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish50c83.27$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6325837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe81b…ae69backed Stanford Cardinal60c82.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.054843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish47c79.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5913141.2%54 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6912…2aabbacked Stanford Cardinal53c78.55$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.922365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Stanford Cardinal53c76.54$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9762140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish50c76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3821937.4%82 W · 137 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish17c66.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.125438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd598…c67cbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish51c64.14$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.714748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish50c63.13$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6616255.6%90 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish50c61.97$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.932,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish51c58.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7449849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa293…2c9cbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish49c57.45$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93e3…e590backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish21c52.7$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.075623.2%13 W · 43 L-9.9wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-46.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x1e2c…d5cdbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish49c49.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.292948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Stanford Cardinal58c42.74$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.953174.2%23 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Stanford Cardinal60c40.66$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2627055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Stanford Cardinal51c39.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4633445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d9…51c5backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish50c39.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish51c38.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.839150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab33…cf5dbacked Stanford Cardinal53c37.37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.564050%20 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked Stanford Cardinal68c36.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.72650%13 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c62…e45abacked Stanford Cardinal79c31.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish51c28.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6630050.7%152 W · 148 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish51c28.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6648551.1%248 W · 237 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish51c28.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6632850%164 W · 164 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…fb49backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish48c26.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.882035%7 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Stanford Cardinal78c25.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.613775.7%28 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Stanford Cardinal79c25.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.295100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd10b…2f6dbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish51c23.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Stanford Cardinal76c22.79$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.371,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish51c22.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2992246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf58…711fbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish51c19.89$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.16253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cc…3c16backed Stanford Cardinal53c19.44$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.231947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Stanford Cardinal79c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.781,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ea2…fe7ebacked Stanford Cardinal80c15.07$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.