NHL · resolved market
Spread: Sharks (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5d541b5d5095dc6d32af7b79bcd32ba4aa41348a9c1d156db3e9602f1e5da38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canucksof Sharks, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cb6…1c50backed Sharks | 46c | 14,707$6,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,751.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Canucks | 54c | 14,079$7,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,472.98 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Sharks | 45c | 4,298$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Canucks | 56c | 3,596$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.38 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed Canucks | 56c | 3,442$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.53 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Canucks | 55c | 2,652$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.21 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Sharks | 58c | 2,505$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.66 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Sharks | 44c | 2,495$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.75 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Canucks | 55c | 2,466$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.78 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Canucks | 55c | 1,882$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.02 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Sharks | 45c | 1,330$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.56 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Canucks | 43c | 1,239$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.11 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Sharks | 45c | 1,182$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.85 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sharks | 45c | 1,150$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.58 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Sharks | 44c | 1,098$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.2 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Canucks | 55c | 1,096$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.99 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Canucks | 42c | 965.2$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.82 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Canucks | 56c | 750.32$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.22 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Canucks | 66c | 737.47$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.13 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…abdfbacked Canucks | 56c | 712.82$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.64 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sharks | 42c | 699.24$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.25 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sharks | 26c | 644.33$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.28 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Canucks | 55c | 586.44$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.9 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Canucks | 55c | 499.98$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d16…c595backed Sharks | 45c | 430.66$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Sharks | 57c | 365.56$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.6 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Sharks | 28c | 334.88$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.77 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canucks | 58c | 303.48$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.36 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Sharks | 45c | 296.55$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.45 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Sharks | 45c | 292.25$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.51 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Canucks | 51c | 290.23$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.02 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Sharks | 41c | 288.66$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.96 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…a756backed Sharks | 46c | 288$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.48 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Sharks | 45c | 238.53$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.34 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Sharks | 13c | 230.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 393 | 43%169 W · 224 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Sharks | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Canucks | 42c | 193.04$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.96 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe96b…eb54backed Sharks | 26c | 180.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Canucks | 42c | 116.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.82 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Sharks | 44c | 110.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Sharks | 44c | 110.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Canucks | 50c | 108.9$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf50f…0586backed Sharks | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked Sharks | 45c | 96.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Sharks | 45c | 96.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Sharks | 46c | 88.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Sharks | 21c | 87.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Canucks | 61c | 85.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaeda…6595backed Canucks | 47c | 83.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Sharks | 45c | 75.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Sharks | 45c | 73.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sharks | 39c | 71.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Canucks | 56c | 66.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Canucks | 57c | 62.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Sharks | 39c | 61.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Canucks | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Canucks | 55c | 56.57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9d…527bbacked Sharks | 45c | 47.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 137 | 53.3%73 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed Sharks | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Sharks | 44c | 40.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Canucks | 54c | 37.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Canucks | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Canucks | 51c | 36.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc45d…de2fbacked Sharks | 45c | 32.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Sharks | 43c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…48a4backed Canucks | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Canucks | 62c | 31.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c49…c6c2backed Canucks | 50c | 30.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Sharks | 52c | 29.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Sharks | 44c | 28.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Canucks | 58c | 27.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1a…e414backed Canucks | 58c | 25.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Canucks | 57c | 20.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Canucks | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Sharks | 57c | 19.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Canucks | 74c | 18.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Canucks | 77c | 13.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sharks (-1.5)this page
- Canucks vs. SharksCanucks won
- Canucks vs. Sharks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Sharks: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.