TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Wichita State Shockers vs. South Florida Bulls

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
South Florida Bullsof Wichita State Shockers, South Florida Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,690

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,690 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef1b…8697backed Wichita State Shockers31c19,895$6,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,240.371656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed South Florida Bulls73c6,393$4,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,718.562,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked South Florida Bulls68c6,003$4,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,926.45,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed South Florida Bulls71c4,959$3,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.221,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Wichita State Shockers29c2,987$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.3939454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked South Florida Bulls73c2,982$2,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.174,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Wichita State Shockers30c2,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.9861652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Wichita State Shockers27c2,477$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.461,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c5b…aab5backed Wichita State Shockers17c1,881$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.715448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed South Florida Bulls70c1,628$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.321,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed South Florida Bulls68c1,280$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.1531646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Wichita State Shockers30c1,200$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35455532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed South Florida Bulls79c1,140$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.363,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed South Florida Bulls72c1,106$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.131,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Wichita State Shockers36c905.57$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.913938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked South Florida Bulls73c885.85$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.5212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed South Florida Bulls70c850.84$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.2515557.4%89 W · 66 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Wichita State Shockers31c694.76$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.3837142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ab5…ff12backed Wichita State Shockers29c684.69$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.568130.9%25 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed South Florida Bulls71c666.59$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.131,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Wichita State Shockers11c589.59$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.021157%8 W · 107 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-57.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked South Florida Bulls71c499.85$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.967871.8%56 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd1c…1f45backed South Florida Bulls73c433.57$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.194045%18 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a4…caf5backed Wichita State Shockers18c404.19$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.597020%14 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Wichita State Shockers29c376.82$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2882846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…08bbbacked Wichita State Shockers31c364.02$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.853641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Wichita State Shockers10c347.1$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7825829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1967…0debbacked Wichita State Shockers29c340.74$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.286826.5%18 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Wichita State Shockers17c338.2$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0427055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Wichita State Shockers30c330.88$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.273764.9%24 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed South Florida Bulls71c296.85$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.971,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed South Florida Bulls72c277.32$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.747655.3%42 W · 34 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Wichita State Shockers30c261.06$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7925837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…4638backed Wichita State Shockers23c228.8$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.925152.9%27 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Wichita State Shockers30c223.31$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8829337.2%109 W · 184 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked South Florida Bulls78c212.65$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0725254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe96b…eb54backed Wichita State Shockers24c207.13$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.481323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Wichita State Shockers25c199.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504719.1%9 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-58.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Wichita State Shockers29c180$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.42254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed South Florida Bulls79c171.71$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.147652.6%40 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Wichita State Shockers30c166.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd046…c496backed Wichita State Shockers31c160.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6310034%34 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Wichita State Shockers18c158.63$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.372,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Wichita State Shockers21c155.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2693247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Wichita State Shockers33c150.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.614257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Wichita State Shockers30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4524432%78 W · 166 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Wichita State Shockers29c149.42$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3322047.7%105 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked South Florida Bulls69c143$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.332441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed South Florida Bulls71c138.85$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.277044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Wichita State Shockers23c135.31$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.167247.2%34 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed South Florida Bulls74c134.23$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.915559.4%92 W · 63 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ec7…1e38backed South Florida Bulls65c122.1$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.735933.9%20 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Wichita State Shockers32c100.37$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.173,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Wichita State Shockers23c100.14$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.410553.3%56 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Wichita State Shockers30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025438.2%97 W · 157 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7941…c675backed South Florida Bulls73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275955.9%33 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked South Florida Bulls70c99.27$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.785269.2%36 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe30e…4eedbacked Wichita State Shockers26c92.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.348518.8%16 W · 69 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-16.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Wichita State Shockers22c84.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.71,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wichita State Shockers32c72.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.171,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a04…e58dbacked Wichita State Shockers28c71.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b56…c7bebacked South Florida Bulls72c67.81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.164447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e86…6bc9backed Wichita State Shockers31c64.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.85837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0110…af5dbacked Wichita State Shockers29c59.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.039153.8%49 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb500…426fbacked South Florida Bulls70c56.72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.025759.6%34 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Wichita State Shockers23c52.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.039554.7%52 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Wichita State Shockers28c50.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2419641.8%82 W · 114 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b6e…b1a7backed South Florida Bulls70c42.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7614448.6%70 W · 74 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Wichita State Shockers29c36.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6333445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa081…77e6backed South Florida Bulls69c35.96$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.159454.3%51 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6232…85e5backed South Florida Bulls75c35.75$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95972.9%43 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d69…4e21backed Wichita State Shockers28c35.49$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.11616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4125…23a9backed South Florida Bulls78c34.93$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.535470.4%38 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed South Florida Bulls72c33.95$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5124649.6%122 W · 124 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc468…530fbacked South Florida Bulls72c31.12$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.73425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick69cpaid-65.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x06fc…9b16backed South Florida Bulls73c29.93$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.082171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed South Florida Bulls73c29.05$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7760954.5%332 W · 277 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dcf…f174backed South Florida Bulls65c29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.15616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-74.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x28b0…94cabacked South Florida Bulls72c27.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.721250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b6d…4ffebacked South Florida Bulls72c26.08$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked South Florida Bulls71c24.83$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1369350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba81…4e89backed South Florida Bulls72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed South Florida Bulls70c19.96$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9866831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fa7…d4febacked South Florida Bulls66c17.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.731275%9 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+39.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6752…25c2backed South Florida Bulls75c16.3$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.02366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ed…6ccabacked South Florida Bulls76c13.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.424443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.