Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: South Florida Bulls (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x802e1a41c983660fcc58d875423d4f5506a24239b0b74ec2b3f3b6a3775abecf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Florida Bullsof South Florida Bulls, Wichita State Shockers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,738 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed South Florida Bulls | 55c | 30,261$16,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,633.53 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Wichita State Shockers | 45c | 19,827$8,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,922.04 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wichita State Shockers | 45c | 3,379$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.26 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Wichita State Shockers | 46c | 2,813$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.08 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wichita State Shockers | 45c | 2,170$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.23 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Wichita State Shockers | 44c | 1,549$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.35 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wichita State Shockers | 44c | 298.71$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.43 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed South Florida Bulls | 46c | 291.27$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.7 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Wichita State Shockers | 51c | 253.29$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.19 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wichita State Shockers | 53c | 249.97$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.19 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked South Florida Bulls | 48c | 192.31$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ed…cbbebacked South Florida Bulls | 54c | 147.03$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.72 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d6…e952backed Wichita State Shockers | 49c | 111.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed South Florida Bulls | 53c | 105.94$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…2687backed South Florida Bulls | 53c | 93.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…d58cbacked Wichita State Shockers | 57c | 87.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…1f45backed South Florida Bulls | 49c | 58.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed South Florida Bulls | 55c | 36.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Wichita State Shockers | 45c | 30.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a66…2c23backed South Florida Bulls | 53c | 28.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Wichita State Shockers | 56c | 25.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed South Florida Bulls | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-5.5)this page
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-6.5)South Florida Bulls won
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-7.5)South Florida Bulls won
- Wichita State Shockers vs. South Florida BullsSouth Florida Bulls won
- Wichita State Shockers vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 137.5Under won
- Wichita State Shockers vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 140.5Under won
- Wichita State Shockers vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 150.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.