Fifa International · resolved market
Georgia vs. Israel: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3e498231bf164946f183cb3aefff260003625657a30ee22313ba8a290d9f2e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 73c | 809.76$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.18 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 23c | 647.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.04 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…78a1backed Under | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 24c | 249.53$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.05 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 24c | 197.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 15c | 130.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6317…9c45backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Under | 22c | 101.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 124 | 41.9%52 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 77c | 101.28$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 77c | 101.28$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 77c | 101.28$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 77c | 101.25$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0b…2ddebacked Over | 77c | 90.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 23c | 88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 20c | 85.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x038a…2188backed Under | 36c | 84.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 78c | 78.87$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 22c | 77.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 74c | 74.65$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb409…10b2backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 71c | 53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 29c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 71c | 23.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 111 | 74.8%83 W · 28 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Georgia vs. Israel: O/U 1.5this page
- Georgia vs. Israel: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Georgia vs. Israel: O/U 2.5Over won
- Georgia vs. Israel: O/U 3.5Over won
- Georgia vs. Israel: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Georgia (-1.5)Israel won
- Spread: Georgia (-2.5)Israel won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.