Fifa International · resolved market
Georgia vs. Israel: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c3467e79fcb3fe3874502c21b49ae2822a646b91e6909ab03e08dd9b0ded965
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88b8…e766backed Under | 49c | 14,121$6,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,919.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be7…4690backed Over | 51c | 14,118$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,917.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over | 53c | 918.82$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.34 | 242 | 42.6%103 W · 139 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…7170backed Under | 49c | 808.93$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 808.9$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.12 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 35c | 472.44$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.98 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 64c | 453.45$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.25 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Over | 69c | 359.21$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.36 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 54c | 326.05$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.05 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 63c | 301.5$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.11 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Over | 77c | 258.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.11 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c34…1e12backed Over | 50c | 219.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd1…e879backed Under | 50c | 215$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441e…e212backed Over | 50c | 214.27$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 46c | 214.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85f2…e724backed Under | 50c | 213$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81da…2ed7backed Over | 50c | 210.42$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea5…060fbacked Over | 50c | 209.45$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…7709backed Under | 50c | 209$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcd…3f50backed Under | 50c | 208$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…659dbacked Over | 50c | 207.16$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8b…24bfbacked Over | 50c | 203.84$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c4…a9bdbacked Over | 50c | 199.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9822…4122backed Over | 50c | 198.69$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…96b0backed Under | 50c | 196$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…5910backed Under | 50c | 196$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f88…2de1backed Over | 50c | 195.55$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f2…9ef9backed Under | 50c | 193$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c6…06a9backed Under | 50c | 192$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a47…7599backed Under | 50c | 191$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b23…3f77backed Under | 50c | 189$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d8…ce90backed Under | 50c | 188$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057e…861ebacked Under | 50c | 187$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…0e1fbacked Over | 50c | 186.31$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 37c | 184.72$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.57 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba9…d431backed Under | 50c | 183$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e57…61b8backed Over | 50c | 182.58$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 124 | 41.9%52 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90af…2aa3backed Over | 50c | 181.73$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c11…92bfbacked Over | 50c | 180.02$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6249…cee9backed Over | 55c | 161.62$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.73 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…78a1backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…7eacbacked Over | 52c | 130.16$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…2f60backed Under | 50c | 129$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 79c | 127.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 200 | 67.5%135 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 53c | 113.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.09 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 48c | 105.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef6a…e427backed Over | 50c | 99.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 90.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 38c | 74.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 46c | 65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Under | 47c | 60.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 54c | 59.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd42…c4aebacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 53c | 55.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 53c | 51.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 53c | 51.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 53c | 51.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb409…10b2backed Over | 55c | 44.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 49c | 42.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 40c | 38.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 52c | 37.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…dde1backed Over | 50c | 30.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0a…7151backed Under | 49c | 29.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16b…74d3backed Over | 53c | 29.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Under | 60c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c91…9b3ebacked Under | 49c | 22.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 47c | 21.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 56c | 21.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…bb30backed Under | 48c | 20.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 54c | 20.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Georgia vs. Israel: O/U 2.5this page
- Georgia vs. Israel: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Georgia vs. Israel: O/U 1.5Over won
- Georgia vs. Israel: O/U 3.5Over won
- Georgia vs. Israel: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Georgia (-1.5)Israel won
- Spread: Georgia (-2.5)Israel won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.