Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Georgia (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82bf71a033e703cf47ccecee4f8f77ee11b31e9dac146d0c7b69fb82bdc1f222
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Israelof Georgia, Israel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9d2…7939backed Georgia | 29c | 1,139$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Israel | 71c | 980.81$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Georgia | 22c | 426.74$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.88 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Israel | 75c | 351.54$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.58 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Israel | 35c | 164.66$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.03 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Georgia | 20c | 141.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Georgia | 29c | 130$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Israel | 78c | 126.07$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Georgia | 28c | 110.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Georgia | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Georgia | 24c | 98.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Georgia | 27c | 92.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Israel | 70c | 89.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Israel | 74c | 66.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Israel | 71c | 54.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Israel | 63c | 47.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 200 | 67.5%135 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Israel | 71c | 42.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Georgia | 26c | 41.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56c…b9b0backed Georgia | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Israel | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Israel | 73c | 36.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Israel | 73c | 32.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Israel | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Israel | 75c | 23.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Israel | 75c | 23.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Israel | 74c | 20.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked Israel | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.24per pick | 61cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Georgia (-1.5)this page
- Georgia vs. Israel: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Georgia vs. Israel: O/U 1.5Over won
- Georgia vs. Israel: O/U 2.5Over won
- Georgia vs. Israel: O/U 3.5Over won
- Georgia vs. Israel: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Georgia (-2.5)Israel won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.