Fifa International · resolved market
Georgia vs. Israel: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde37c643c9cf8c95f5b608880067c99afb4dfd8fd19a90114574b0923215db55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 44c | 704.1$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.34 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes | 56c | 592.79$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.3 | 242 | 42.6%103 W · 139 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Yes | 56c | 536.25$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.95 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 331.47$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.19 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Yes | 53c | 324.81$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.1 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 44c | 228.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.43 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65d…1020backed No | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8c…64acbacked Yes | 53c | 217.32$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed42…8d06backed No | 47c | 217$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3326…c571backed Yes | 53c | 215.36$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613d…7173backed Yes | 53c | 212.58$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061d…d85abacked No | 47c | 212$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa884…24eabacked Yes | 53c | 209.68$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7a…122cbacked No | 47c | 207$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7503…54c9backed No | 47c | 207$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…a235backed Yes | 53c | 205.64$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e74…e364backed No | 47c | 204$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f8…e454backed Yes | 53c | 200.36$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e2…4a22backed No | 47c | 197$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…3903backed Yes | 53c | 191.64$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa013…c9a4backed Yes | 53c | 191.42$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…d7f4backed No | 47c | 191$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227f…1997backed Yes | 53c | 189.86$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1caf…a4b6backed Yes | 53c | 184.14$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…6950backed No | 47c | 183$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x395b…b14cbacked No | 47c | 180$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 45c | 148$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…05c6backed Yes | 56c | 143.04$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 48c | 130.71$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.77 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 40c | 125.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 44c | 107.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 105.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…b795backed Yes | 56c | 104.92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd42…c4aebacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Yes | 52c | 38.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 200 | 67.5%135 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6078…dbaebacked Yes | 56c | 32.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Yes | 49c | 25.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 74 | 71.6%53 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Georgia vs. Israel: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Georgia vs. Israel: O/U 1.5Over won
- Georgia vs. Israel: O/U 2.5Over won
- Georgia vs. Israel: O/U 3.5Over won
- Georgia vs. Israel: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Georgia (-1.5)Israel won
- Spread: Georgia (-2.5)Israel won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.