Cricket · resolved market
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Scotland vs Canada
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2404c6da1ac76f6c48f9d501457bcb74652cec7124282e4aae757473e841dc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Scotlandof Scotland, Canada
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0133…705fbacked Canada | 2c | 5,258$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5c…ab00backed Canada | 2c | 3,450$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…071ebacked Canada | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Canada | 21c | 780.28$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 682 | 31.2%213 W · 469 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…0265backed Canada | 7c | 695.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11eb…50cbbacked Scotland | 69c | 640.39$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.18 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Canada | 2c | 626.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Canada | 31c | 621$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.51 | 461 | 47.7%220 W · 241 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Canada | 7c | 599.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Canada | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Canada | 25c | 254.27$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Scotland | 67c | 250.19$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5817…987dbacked Canada | 33c | 203.79$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 180 | 43.9%79 W · 101 L | -12.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Canada | 49c | 203.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe7…0c14backed Canada | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a4…99d0backed Scotland | 69c | 166.46$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…0811backed Canada | 7c | 152.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Scotland | 69c | 135.67$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Scotland | 67c | 100.59$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x568e…40bcbacked Canada | 14c | 95.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Canada | 15c | 86.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…cc7bbacked Scotland | 70c | 84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 47 | 80.9%38 W · 9 L | +8.0wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Scotland | 69c | 67.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 340 | 40.3%137 W · 203 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Scotland | 71c | 65.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 432 | 44.2%191 W · 241 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Canada | 31c | 62.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Canada | 33c | 58.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…5508backed Scotland | 69c | 43.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Scotland | 67c | 42.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Scotland | 48c | 37.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 196 | 57.7%113 W · 83 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Canada | 31c | 34.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7b…c052backed Scotland | 68c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.