Tennis · resolved market
Tunis: Maxim Mrva vs Federico Cina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f7e01472f201959bf6b88a6319c725f4035c3d16921ceb5fb2803a4afc5a34f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Federico Cinaof Maxim Mrva, Federico Cina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Federico Cina | 47c | 9,000$4,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,785.37 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maxim Mrva | 52c | 8,125$4,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,232.87 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Maxim Mrva | 57c | 3,943$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.5 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Maxim Mrva | 42c | 3,599$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.73 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Federico Cina | 56c | 2,662$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.06 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Maxim Mrva | 33c | 2,285$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.11 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Federico Cina | 51c | 2,208$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.09 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Maxim Mrva | 47c | 1,905$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.25 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f9…c741backed Maxim Mrva | 15c | 1,220$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.46 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Federico Cina | 67c | 1,212$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.95 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maxim Mrva | 55c | 1,174$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.12 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Maxim Mrva | 39c | 1,143$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.69 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Maxim Mrva | 54c | 999.99$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…6c57backed Federico Cina | 68c | 799.99$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Federico Cina | 55c | 730.99$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.3 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa838…bccebacked Federico Cina | 70c | 714.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.28 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Maxim Mrva | 38c | 706.13$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.9 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Federico Cina | 44c | 686.39$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.57 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Maxim Mrva | 37c | 680.83$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.65 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Federico Cina | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.4 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Federico Cina | 49c | 535.96$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.96 | 307 | 41.7%128 W · 179 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Federico Cina | 55c | 510.16$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.71 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Federico Cina | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Federico Cina | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Maxim Mrva | 21c | 459.88$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Maxim Mrva | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 392 | 38.8%152 W · 240 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Federico Cina | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x442d…f7bebacked Federico Cina | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Maxim Mrva | 31c | 394.31$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.09 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Federico Cina | 59c | 377.18$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.88 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Federico Cina | 57c | 342.73$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.23 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Federico Cina | 77c | 324.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 362 | 64.6%234 W · 128 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Maxim Mrva | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Federico Cina | 66c | 299.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Maxim Mrva | 61c | 295.78$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.54 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Federico Cina | 53c | 285$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.95 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Maxim Mrva | 49c | 272.62$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.68 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Federico Cina | 62c | 243.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.14 | 402 | 64.4%259 W · 143 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Federico Cina | 34c | 236.49$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.38 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Federico Cina | 68c | 235.6$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.63 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Federico Cina | 55c | 209.09$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.09 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Maxim Mrva | 64c | 202.37$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.1 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Maxim Mrva | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…3c72backed Maxim Mrva | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 51 | 7.8%4 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…1f49backed Federico Cina | 75c | 166.66$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 146 | 74%108 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 75cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5c…ab00backed Maxim Mrva | 12c | 163$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcf…ef2fbacked Federico Cina | 44c | 157.73$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.73 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Maxim Mrva | 38c | 149.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 491 | 42.8%210 W · 281 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Maxim Mrva | 41c | 142.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Maxim Mrva | 61c | 121.43$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.72 | 303 | 39.9%121 W · 182 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7173…7a4cbacked Maxim Mrva | 48c | 119.49$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Maxim Mrva | 31c | 109.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Maxim Mrva | 57c | 105.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 587 | 50.4%296 W · 291 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Federico Cina | 38c | 102.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.18 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Maxim Mrva | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Maxim Mrva | 43c | 99.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed Maxim Mrva | 35c | 97.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Maxim Mrva | 42c | 96.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Maxim Mrva | 29c | 94.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Maxim Mrva | 61c | 90$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 257 | 63.4%163 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Maxim Mrva | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…e4a2backed Federico Cina | 74c | 81.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0f…6906backed Maxim Mrva | 18c | 81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Maxim Mrva | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Federico Cina | 43c | 80.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Federico Cina | 58c | 80.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Federico Cina | 70c | 60.26$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Maxim Mrva | 40c | 58.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Maxim Mrva | 46c | 54.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Maxim Mrva | 57c | 54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 351 | 87.7%308 W · 43 L | +66.4wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Federico Cina | 68c | 53.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 528 | 54.9%290 W · 238 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Federico Cina | 61c | 53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Maxim Mrva | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Maxim Mrva | 40c | 52.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Federico Cina | 76c | 51.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Maxim Mrva | 62c | 51.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Maxim Mrva | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…bfa7backed Maxim Mrva | 59c | 50.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 282 | 65.6%185 W · 97 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Federico Cina | 71c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Maxim Mrva | 31c | 49.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Maxim Mrva | 33c | 48.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Maxim Mrva | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Maxim Mrva | 45c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 313 | 66.8%209 W · 104 L | +27.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Federico Cina | 73c | 42.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…63d0backed Maxim Mrva | 32c | 41.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Federico Cina | 63c | 41.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 647 | 55%356 W · 291 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Maxim Mrva | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Federico Cina | 60c | 34.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Maxim Mrva | 43c | 29.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 306 | 72.9%223 W · 83 L | +27.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…5eeabacked Federico Cina | 77c | 25.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 230 | 73.9%170 W · 60 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 78cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae37…90f2backed Federico Cina | 51c | 25.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…e14dbacked Federico Cina | 66c | 22.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -26.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Maxim Mrva | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Federico Cina | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Federico Cina | 67c | 17.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Federico Cina | 62c | 16.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tunis: Maxim Mrva vs Federico Cinathis page
- Mrva vs. Cina: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.