TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Valencia: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Francisco Comesana

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pablo Carreno Bustaof Pablo Carreno Busta, Francisco Comesana
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,293
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,814

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,293 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Pablo Carreno Busta55c16,885$9,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,520.6125852.7%136 W · 122 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Francisco Comesana21c11,585$2,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,482.557,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Francisco Comesana10c11,444$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.039,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Francisco Comesana44c4,572$2,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,028.5380938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86f5…8d50backed Pablo Carreno Busta57c4,000$2,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.99650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Pablo Carreno Busta78c3,610$2,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.791,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Francisco Comesana2c3,333$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.661,2078%96 W · 1,111 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Francisco Comesana15c3,029$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.174,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Francisco Comesana45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35068935%241 W · 448 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x931c…4492backed Francisco Comesana26c2,973$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7731526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Francisco Comesana34c2,707$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.034,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Francisco Comesana20c1,593$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.497,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Pablo Carreno Busta65c1,489$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.046,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Pablo Carreno Busta53c1,300$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61115356.2%86 W · 67 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Francisco Comesana45c1,236$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501,88344.8%843 W · 1,040 L+36.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Francisco Comesana45c1,224$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.9811945.4%54 W · 65 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Francisco Comesana44c1,218$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.923,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Pablo Carreno Busta77c1,208$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.7566139.3%260 W · 401 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pablo Carreno Busta71c1,189$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.8311,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Pablo Carreno Busta65c1,052$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.24,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Francisco Comesana44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44085634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Francisco Comesana45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Francisco Comesana45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,88145.7%860 W · 1,021 L+51.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57c3…44b8backed Pablo Carreno Busta56c936.89$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.36225.8%16 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+113.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Francisco Comesana32c921.36$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.112,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Pablo Carreno Busta56c907.21$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.062,06946.7%966 W · 1,103 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Francisco Comesana25c902.2$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.5557321.8%125 W · 448 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Francisco Comesana40c789.74$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.448,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Pablo Carreno Busta57c784.31$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.313135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Francisco Comesana23c741.39$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.915,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Pablo Carreno Busta65c694$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.71,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Francisco Comesana44c638.13$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.627,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Francisco Comesana35c631.18$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201,57939.8%629 W · 950 L-34.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Francisco Comesana44c599.99$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2641,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Pablo Carreno Busta70c529.39$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.92,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Pablo Carreno Busta78c513.55$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.559533.7%32 W · 63 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Francisco Comesana45c497.69$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.942,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Pablo Carreno Busta61c472.2$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.3642042.6%179 W · 241 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Pablo Carreno Busta65c471$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.8564346.2%297 W · 346 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Francisco Comesana8c400.85$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8285624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Francisco Comesana27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019744.2%87 W · 110 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde6e…0169backed Pablo Carreno Busta46c369.09$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.312729.6%8 W · 19 L-6.4wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-43.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Pablo Carreno Busta55c355.5$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.4216746.1%77 W · 90 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Pablo Carreno Busta74c350.44$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.824,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed Pablo Carreno Busta57c323.68$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.1811361.1%69 W · 44 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb22a…a80dbacked Francisco Comesana31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Francisco Comesana32c317$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.81,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Francisco Comesana23c303.94$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.551,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Francisco Comesana56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16870752.8%373 W · 334 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5192…df62backed Francisco Comesana46c291.64$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.9812352.8%65 W · 58 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Pablo Carreno Busta70c290.71$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.2159965.8%394 W · 205 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Francisco Comesana44c288.98$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.324,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Francisco Comesana51c254.33$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13094549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Pablo Carreno Busta57c244.58$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5885568.3%584 W · 271 L+24.6wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6076…f8fdbacked Pablo Carreno Busta44c227.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.3817744.1%78 W · 99 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Pablo Carreno Busta67c224.35$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.351,67353%887 W · 786 L+45.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Pablo Carreno Busta54c221.33$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3323353.2%124 W · 109 L+0.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Francisco Comesana45c200.57$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.481,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Francisco Comesana44c199$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.567,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Pablo Carreno Busta79c174.56$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.993,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Pablo Carreno Busta69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9326451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1575…3d32backed Pablo Carreno Busta71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.857065.7%46 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Pablo Carreno Busta77c140$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.21,92655.4%1,067 W · 859 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Pablo Carreno Busta73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9937071.9%266 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Francisco Comesana44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.846439.7%184 W · 280 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb41e…db27backed Francisco Comesana45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013948.9%68 W · 71 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Francisco Comesana46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038951.9%202 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ec6…1c05backed Francisco Comesana47c105.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.924136.6%15 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Pablo Carreno Busta70c103$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.992674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a68…611ebacked Pablo Carreno Busta56c102.34$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.43944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Francisco Comesana44c101.28$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5669051.2%353 W · 337 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b8…8712backed Pablo Carreno Busta55c100.45$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.217257%98 W · 74 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Pablo Carreno Busta55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4556062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Francisco Comesana46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Francisco Comesana45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452,27542.7%972 W · 1,303 L+33.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Pablo Carreno Busta56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4425751.8%133 W · 124 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe658…2c42backed Francisco Comesana46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4639842.2%168 W · 230 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Francisco Comesana37c98.78$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.241,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5c…ab00backed Francisco Comesana26c92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.92140%0 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Francisco Comesana33c84$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7217617%30 W · 146 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-45.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Francisco Comesana46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.850340%201 W · 302 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2439…3ed7backed Pablo Carreno Busta52c77.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0212954.3%70 W · 59 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Francisco Comesana26c75.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.581,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdae6…7d39backed Francisco Comesana55c73.65$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.513542.9%15 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7e0…a311backed Francisco Comesana32c73.63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.562040%8 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Pablo Carreno Busta57c71.93$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9383661%510 W · 326 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Francisco Comesana28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7368026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Pablo Carreno Busta74c70.74$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.391,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb92f…58c4backed Francisco Comesana29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030653.3%163 W · 143 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Pablo Carreno Busta56c66.72$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.112,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a37…4daebacked Francisco Comesana45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013451.5%69 W · 65 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Francisco Comesana45c63.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.77,10739.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L-17.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c6…0ea8backed Francisco Comesana40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Francisco Comesana47c60.92$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.743067%288 W · 142 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15db…1da8backed Pablo Carreno Busta54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.562638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50a5…ba08backed Pablo Carreno Busta56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.574050%20 W · 20 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-20.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Pablo Carreno Busta64c51$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3651339.4%202 W · 311 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Pablo Carreno Busta72c49.5$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.861,08573.7%800 W · 285 L+40.8wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Pablo Carreno Busta66c48$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4495846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Pablo Carreno Busta55c46.27$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.822,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.