CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5dbbc284f979fb5fcdc3878fd38e7c12797044cee2165558329308310363ddf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Over | 45c | 3,160$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.95 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 73c | 1,669$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.56 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 1,428$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.2 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 72c | 850.79$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.22 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed Over | 40c | 799.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 57c | 693.59$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.24 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 56c | 650.41$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.18 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 55c | 550$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…9d81backed Over | 28c | 510$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8df…4b48backed Under | 56c | 440.91$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c84…8ce8backed Over | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 55c | 298.44$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.86 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 61c | 280$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.24 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed Under | 63c | 270.19$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.19 | 316 | 47.5%150 W · 166 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Over | 39c | 228$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.64 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 57c | 186$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.98 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 175$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 65c | 171.74$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.54 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 28c | 166.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9147…baccbacked Over | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 42c | 154.38$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…959abacked Under | 72c | 145.49$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 29c | 141.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 64c | 135.56$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.37 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Over | 35c | 130.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 63c | 125$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 74c | 100.41$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 32c | 96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 56c | 93.14$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 27c | 93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…8719backed Over | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 27c | 86.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -14.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…efabbacked Over | 29c | 85.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7708…42cbbacked Over | 31c | 83.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 57c | 74.42$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Under | 68c | 74.22$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 460 | 42.8%197 W · 263 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Under | 61c | 60.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6549…25b5backed Over | 27c | 58.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 31c | 57.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Under | 56c | 54.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 217 | 41.5%90 W · 127 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 323 | 61.6%199 W · 124 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Under | 57c | 46.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…d7a0backed Over | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…bf3bbacked Under | 60c | 39.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Over | 29c | 37.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…e7c3backed Under | 73c | 35.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 43c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 59c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd739…25b1backed Under | 56c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904c…4172backed Under | 58c | 25.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed Under | 73c | 21.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 480 | 52.3%251 W · 229 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…3bbebacked Under | 72c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 384 | 52.1%200 W · 184 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Under | 77c | 13.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group BNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.