TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Athleticsof Kansas City Royals, Athletics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$833,000
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$865,895

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $833,000 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Kansas City Royals47c154,000$72,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,379.9821040%84 W · 126 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1de3…a1fabacked Kansas City Royals11c102,974$11,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,151.823020%6 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Athletics54c61,303$32,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,415.9417652.8%93 W · 83 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Athletics54c52,000$28,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,919.8577053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Kansas City Royals46c39,000$17,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,939.927755.8%43 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb59…1d47backed Kansas City Royals13c37,000$4,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,729.9830%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Kansas City Royals30c35,584$10,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,705.891,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Athletics53c30,000$15,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,1001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Athletics54c20,000$10,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,299.9744945.4%204 W · 245 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Athletics53c18,868$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,867.9236047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals46c15,901$7,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,314.411,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Athletics58c15,070$8,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,349.3298149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kansas City Royals46c14,652$6,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,786.621,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals25c11,398$2,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,846.9610,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef1b…8697backed Kansas City Royals15c10,153$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50014042.9%60 W · 80 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Kansas City Royals46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6005743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Athletics53c8,059$4,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,787.853,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Kansas City Royals0c6,800$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.58762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed Athletics46c6,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,24051756.5%292 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Athletics54c5,556$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.5637953.6%203 W · 176 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51b8…d25fbacked Kansas City Royals13c5,100$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6484143.9%18 W · 23 L+7.2wins+0.18per pick26cpaid+81.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Kansas City Royals46c4,944$2,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,260.544,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Athletics58c4,552$2,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.742,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Kansas City Royals8c4,341$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.9133515.5%52 W · 283 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe807…307cbacked Kansas City Royals17c4,131$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.251127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-42.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Athletics80c4,042$3,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.691,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ce…ddd7backed Athletics53c3,960$2,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,861.212857%73 W · 55 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Kansas City Royals42c3,729$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,555.412,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Athletics55c3,297$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.9728944.3%128 W · 161 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Kansas City Royals46c2,964$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.311,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Kansas City Royals39c2,326$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.7225240.1%101 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals36c2,322$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.839,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x446f…b09fbacked Kansas City Royals21c2,144$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.24933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals46c1,909$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.375,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Athletics53c1,890$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.375049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a6…c8d3backed Athletics54c1,700$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7829350.5%47 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Athletics55c1,676$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.3389153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Kansas City Royals17c1,386$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.711,72250.3%867 W · 855 L+55.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Kansas City Royals10c1,355$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.121,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd714…9a62backed Kansas City Royals46c1,325$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.54944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde27…2cfdbacked Athletics53c1,230$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.191540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Kansas City Royals13c1,150$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15524946.2%115 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Athletics54c1,111$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.1114156%79 W · 62 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2445…ff62backed Athletics54c1,100$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5093053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Kansas City Royals47c1,060$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.541,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Kansas City Royals18c1,056$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Athletics60c1,012$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.8633864.2%217 W · 121 L+23.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Kansas City Royals35c1,004$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.191,14043%490 W · 650 L-37.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Kansas City Royals47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47061947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Kansas City Royals46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46012640.5%51 W · 75 L-12.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Athletics48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52014938.3%57 W · 92 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Athletics70c951.67$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.6713655.1%75 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc313…e128backed Kansas City Royals39c948.6$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.537941.2%156 W · 223 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals16c882.35$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.521,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Athletics55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36026759.2%158 W · 109 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Athletics76c780.55$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.672,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Kansas City Royals46c777.59$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.696536.9%24 W · 41 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Kansas City Royals33c700.91$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.7770735.1%248 W · 459 L-31.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Athletics55c666.97$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.4728258.5%165 W · 117 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Athletics55c636.36$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.361,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Kansas City Royals45c621.28$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.365,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals46c600.12$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.776,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Athletics55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27085952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87af…c990backed Kansas City Royals46c543.48$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25032742.2%138 W · 189 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Kansas City Royals46c520$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.270744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Kansas City Royals46c505$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.754,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Kansas City Royals45c501$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.453,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Kansas City Royals47c500$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.539850.3%200 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Kansas City Royals50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8526857.8%155 W · 113 L+26.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Kansas City Royals16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9550949.5%252 W · 257 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9865…f6afbacked Kansas City Royals14c498.45$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6131032.9%102 W · 208 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Athletics55c460$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20722548.4%109 W · 116 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Kansas City Royals46c449.95$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.9834648.6%168 W · 178 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb2b…e828backed Athletics54c440.4$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.416844%74 W · 94 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Athletics75c436.9$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.3139640.9%162 W · 234 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc278…a116backed Kansas City Royals47c428.07$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.784140.2%338 W · 503 L-3.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Kansas City Royals46c404.95$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.281,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Athletics55c354.55$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.5540348.4%195 W · 208 L-18.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c67…1075backed Athletics69c350$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.55172.5%37 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x982e…add6backed Kansas City Royals22c319.55$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7133228.3%94 W · 238 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Kansas City Royals46c318.67$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5920647.1%97 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Athletics63c310$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.355,12654.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L+231.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Athletics68c309.59$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.911,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72f3…d396backed Athletics55c301.85$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.8550647%238 W · 268 L-21.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Kansas City Royals45c299.97$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.991,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Athletics48c290$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.83857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Athletics54c284.42$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.071,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Athletics54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7843247%203 W · 229 L-19.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Athletics54c277.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2743153.6%231 W · 200 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc822…650bbacked Athletics54c276.39$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.146756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6676…22f3backed Athletics55c274.75$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.7552947.4%251 W · 278 L-24.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x81b0…858cbacked Athletics55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7320552.7%108 W · 97 L+12.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Athletics44c271.19$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.3567742.2%286 W · 391 L-36.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Athletics47c264.48$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.836,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb56…7edabacked Athletics72c263.35$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.721090%9 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick65cpaid+41.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Kansas City Royals50c253.36$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.6850860.2%306 W · 202 L+29.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4be8…284dbacked Kansas City Royals8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f8d…a92abacked Athletics54c240$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.423754%128 W · 109 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Kansas City Royals46c235$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8210338.8%40 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Kansas City Royals47c225$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7577050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.